Adam SchefterNov 2, 2026

Schefter expected the Colts to move Josh Downs before the deadline, likely settling for around a fourth-round pick, said Jonathan Taylor's situation was fluid with all options open, and said Kirk Cousins would not be traded by the Raiders. They also expected Seattle to get Zach Charbonnet back for Monday night and to activate Jadarion Price.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)Hear the original

Waiting4 calls, none settled yet

—Average accuracynothing settled yet

—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

0 of 4Settled4 still waiting

4Waitingnot graded yet

What Adam Schefter said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Kirk Cousins, I don't see as an option.

Adam Schefter, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)
The episode: PMS 2.0 1657 - OVERREACTION MONDAY, NFL Week 8 Recap, MNF Preview/Picks, Adam Schefter, Dan Orlovsky, & AJ Hawk
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

1Josh Downs to move — “the two sides settle in on, like, a fourth round pick for Josh Downes here in the next eight days”“I know the Colts have asked for a third round draft pick... maybe the two sides settle in on, like, a fourth round pick for Josh Downes here in the next eight days.”
2Availability Calls“it looks like they'll get back Zach Charbonnet tonight. He'll make his season debut. (Monday night, Week 8)”
3Kirk Cousins to stay with Las Vegas Raiders“The Raiders... they're not looking to trade their players... Kirk Cousins, I don't see as an option.”
4Jadarian Price — “activated at the 4:00 eastern deadline”“whether the Seahawks activate Jadarion Price, at the 04:00 eastern deadline today. My sense is, that's their plan right now.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Josh Downs to move — “the two sides settle in on, like, a fourth round pick for Josh Downes here in the next eight days”¹	Trade and Signing Calls	—	—	—	—
“it looks like they'll get back Zach Charbonnet tonight. He'll…”²	Availability Calls	—	—	—	—
Kirk Cousins to stay with Las Vegas Raiders³	Trade and Signing Calls	—	—	—	—
Jadarian Price — “activated at the 4:00 eastern deadline”⁴	Roster Spot Calls	—	—	—	—
4 calls · 4 waiting			—	—

How each call scored

4 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls, 1 availability call and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Trade and Signing Calls Josh Downs
Josh Downs to move — “the two sides settle in on, like, a fourth round pick for Josh Downes here in the next eight days”
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
2Availability Calls Zach Charbonnet Seattle Seahawks
“it looks like they'll get back Zach Charbonnet tonight. He'll make his season debut. (Monday night, Week 8)”
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
3Trade and Signing Calls Kirk Cousins Las Vegas Raiders
Kirk Cousins to stay with Las Vegas Raiders
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
4Roster Spot Calls Jadarian Price Seattle Seahawks
Jadarian Price — “activated at the 4:00 eastern deadline”
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.
Noah Compton · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Compton expects the rebuilding Colts to keep dealing veterans before the November 10 deadline, naming Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs and Grover Stewart as the likeliest remaining trade candidates, and believes Indianapolis should and likely will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones, while Shane Steichen keeps starting Jones in the meantime.
Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.
Jordan Schultz · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Schultz expects Jonathan Taylor to be traded for at least a second-round pick plus additional compensation, and believes Josh Downs will ultimately be dealt for a fourth-round pick rather than the third the Colts are seeking.

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.
Patricia Traina · Trade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery.
Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.
Mike Fanelli · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Fanelli suggested Keenan Allen may be dealt away from Indianapolis, with Week 9 potentially their final appearance for the Colts.
Thomas Martinez · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Hit 100
Martinez argues the Chargers will be sellers at the 2026 trade deadline, predicting Khalil Mack is dealt (for an early-to-mid Day 3 pick) and that linebacker Daiyan Henley could also be moved for a mid Day 3 pick, while suggesting the club acquire edge rusher Malik Herring and blocking tight end Ko Kieft for late-round picks.