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Carter Bahns#18 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 31, 2026

Bahns calls it reality that Shedeur Sanders will take over as Cleveland's starting quarterback by Week 4, with Deshaun Watson set to fail.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0Miss · out of 100
Depth Chart CallsThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
#18Carter Bahns’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Carter Bahns said

Statement: Shedeur Sanders will be the Browns' starting QB by Week 4 ... Overreaction or reality: Reality
Our reading: Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Ranking NFL's biggest surprise cuts, plus bold predictions and Aaron Donald not a lock to play in Week 1
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 31
  2. PlayedOct 1
  3. GradedOct 2

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Depth Chart CallsShedeur SandersCleveland Browns

    Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    week:
    4
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he starts
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    he did not play that week
    naive slot:
    1
    settled by:
    weekly snap counts (he took no snap in the game)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he keeps the job he had last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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