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Henry McKennaSep 22, 2026

McKenna's Week 3 QB Stock Market ranks the league's starting quarterbacks 1-32, with Josh Allen first, Bryce Young surging to No. 5, Patrick Mahomes at No. 4 and Cooper Rush last. They also predict the Chargers will lose each of their next five games against Buffalo, Seattle, Denver, Kansas City and the Rams.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

5 of 5calls landed5 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
80A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5Games calledeveryone’s picks below
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Henry McKenna said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I don't see the Chargers winning any of the games.
Henry McKenna, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Fox Sports
The piece
QB Stock Market Week 3: Patrick Mahomes Is Back. Has Bryce Young Finally Arrived?
The original
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  1. SaidSep 22
  2. PlayedSep 27–Nov 1
  3. GradedSep 28–Nov 2
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers“And then it's an "away" game against the Rams. I don't see the Chargers winning any of the games.”
  2. 2Kansas City Chiefs to beat Chargers“before travelling to Kansas City ... I don't see the Chargers winning any of the games.”
  3. 3Denver Broncos to beat Chargers“In Week 5, they host the Broncos ... I don't see the Chargers winning any of the games.”
  4. 4Seattle Seahawks to beat Chargers“They travel to Buffalo and then Seattle. ... I don't see the Chargers winning any of the games.”
  5. 5Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers“They travel to Buffalo and then Seattle. ... I don't see the Chargers winning any of the games.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers1Game Outcome PicksRams 24–91001000
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Chargers2Game Outcome PicksChiefs 22–61001000
Denver Broncos to beat Chargers3Game Outcome PicksBroncos 23–171000+189
Seattle Seahawks to beat Chargers4Game Outcome PicksSeahawks 30–231001000
Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers5Game Outcome PicksBills 24–161001000
5 calls · 5 hits · all settled10080

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 80 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers

    What happenedRams 24–9Chargers at Rams
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    9-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Chargers

    What happenedChiefs 22–6Chargers at Chiefs
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    6-22
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to beat Chargers

    What happenedBroncos 23–17Broncos at Chargers
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.89difficulty+189skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    23-17
    skill:
    189
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Chargers

    What happenedSeahawks 30–23Chargers at Seahawks
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    23-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers

    What happenedBills 24–16Chargers at Bills
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Bills by 7 · favorite pick, Bills about 3 in 4 (73%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    16-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 80

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

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