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Zack KelbermanNov 11, 2026

Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 3 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 4Settled3 still waiting
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Zack Kelberman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
It wouldn't at all be a surprise if he's starting over Singleton or Strnad sooner rather than later.
Zack Kelberman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
How Broncos Made Roster Room for Newly-Acquired LB Daiyan Henley
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidNov 10
  2. GradedNov 14
  1. 1Sean Fresch Jr. to be cut“defensive back Sean Fresch Jr., who was waived from the active roster, with designs of re-signing to the practice squad. That could happen as early as Wednesday, assuming Fresch clears waivers.”
  2. 2Daiyan Henley to be 3rd on the depth chart“Henley, meanwhile, is reportedly anticipated to open his Broncos career as the third ILB behind incumbent starters Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad”
  3. 3Daiyan Henley to be 1st on the depth chart“it wouldn't at all be a surprise if he's starting over Singleton or Strnad sooner rather than later”
  4. 4Availability Calls“Although the Broncos lost Riley Moss to a concussion against Carolina, Moss is likely to return when the club emerges from its Week 10 bye ... Assuming Moss is back against the Las Vegas Raiders on Nov. 22”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Sean Fresch Jr. to be cut1Roster Spot Calls—000
Daiyan Henley to be 3rd on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
Daiyan Henley to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart Calls————
“Although the Broncos lost Riley Moss to a concussion against…”4Availability Calls————
4 calls · 1 miss · 3 waiting00

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 1 availability call and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.5difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    DEN
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Sean Fresch Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he does not make the 53
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    made the 53
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    1.5
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsDaiyan HenleyDenver Broncos

    Daiyan Henley to be 3rd on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Depth Chart CallsDaiyan HenleyDenver Broncos

    Daiyan Henley to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Availability CallsRiley MossDenver Broncos

    “Although the Broncos lost Riley Moss to a concussion against Carolina, Moss is likely to return when the club emerges from its Week 10 bye ... Assuming Moss is back against the Las Vegas Raiders on Nov. 22”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.