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Chargers vs Bills predictions, graded

Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills · Week 3, 2026 · Sun, Sep 27 · Final: Chargers 16, Bills 24 · Updated

Who do pundits pick in Chargers vs Bills? Of 21 pundits with a call on record, 17 take the Bills and 4 take the Chargers. 5 named a score; the median has the Bills by 10. The Bills won 24-16, so 17 of 21 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 81 out of 100.

Who the room took

21 pundits · each counted once, by their latest call
4
took the Chargers · 19%
Final16–24graded calls averaged 81 of 100
17
took the Bills · 81%

Chargers vs Bills picks by outlet

Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.

The other 4 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Bills 2, Chargers 2.

Chargers vs Bills score predictions

5 pundits named a score; the median call is Bills by 10, and the final was Bills by 8.

Chris Simms
Bills 35, Chargers 27Bills by 8The final margin, exactly
Pete Prisco
Bills 32, Chargers 23Bills by 91 point from the final margin
John Breech
Bills 34, Chargers 24Bills by 102 points from the final margin
Matt Severance
Bills 31, Chargers 21Bills by 102 points from the final margin
Tyler Sullivan
Bills 31, Chargers 20Bills by 113 points from the final margin
5 pundits’ latest score callsmedian call: Bills by 10final: Bills by 8

Each dot is one pundit’s latest score call, placed at the winning margin it named. The solid bar is how the game actually finished. Hover or tap a dot for the pundit and the score.

Chargers at Bills: how they came in

The Chargers are 0-2 and have lost 2 straight; the Bills are 2-0 and have won 2 straight. On win totals, 13 pundits put the Chargers at 8.1 wins on average, and 13 pundits put the Bills at 11.4 wins on average.

Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

Record coming in
0-2 · lost 2 straight · 28 scored, 52 allowed
Last games
Unit ranks
offense 32nd, defense 26th of 32 (this season)
Last season
11-6
Win-total calls
13 pundits · average 8.1 · 2 to 12 wins
The room's picks
the side most pundits took won 0 of 2 Chargers games
Record coming in
2-0 · won 2 straight · 77 scored, 62 allowed
Last games
Unit ranks
offense 1st, defense 12th of 32 (this season)
Last season
12-5
Win-total calls
13 pundits · average 11.4 · 10 to 14 wins
The room's picks
the side most pundits took won 1 of 2 Bills games

Chargers and Bills players to watch

Each club’s starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit on our leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick (69 pundits clear that bar), made since the 2026 schedule came out. “No.” is their rank there.

Chargers

  • Justin HerbertStarting QB · QB

    1,591 passing yards · 6 TD, 11 INT · 61.3% completions · 190 rushing yards · 8 games · 21st in the NFL in passing yards

    • No. 4Bryan DeArdosaid Nov 3Pending

      Justin Herbert to stay with Los Angeles Chargers

      “Of all the players on this list, Herbert is the player with the best chance of a trade. That would require Herbert to agree to waive his no-trade clause.” the article →

    • No. 8Pat Fitzmauricesaid Aug 30Pending

      Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round)

      “Justin Herbert has an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round... the arrival of offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel could help unlock the sort of big passing numbers that Herbert produced in his first three seasons.” the article →

  • Omarion HamptonRB1 · RB

    369 rushing yards on 102 carries · 3 TD · 11 catches for 63 · 8 games · 25th in the NFL in rushing yards

    • No. 8Pat Fitzmauricesaid Aug 17Pending

      Omarion Hampton to be 1st on the depth chart

      “Mitchell is No. 2 in the pecking order behind starter Omarion Hampton, and Vidal is No. 3” the article →

    • No. 12Derek Brownsaid Aug 15Pending

      Omarion Hampton to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points

      “Hampton should be a rock-solid RB1 with massive upside in 2026.” the article →

  • Ladd McConkeyWR1 · WR

    17 catches for 286 yards · 1 TD · 6 games · 76th in the NFL in receiving yards

    • No. 4Bryan DeArdosaid Nov 6Pending

      Ladd McConkey to move to Pittsburgh Steelers

      “Trade 1 Steelers receive: Ladd McConkey, 2027 fifth-round pick Chargers receive: Roman Wilson, 2027 second-round pick” the article →

    • No. 5Tom Pelisserosaid Sep 18Pending

      “McConkie's out, and I expect him to be out for the game. (Chargers vs. Raiders, Week 2)” the article →

  • 19 catches for 172 yards · 1 TD · 8 games · 135th in the NFL in receiving yards

    • No. 8Pat Fitzmauricesaid Aug 11Pending

      Oronde Gadsden II to fall short of his draft cost (TE20, Overall RK150 | ECR vs. ADP: -20)

      “I'll be avoiding Oronde Gadsden in drafts this season... Gadsden looks like he's locked in a tight end committee for 2026, which is something I don't have any interest in dealing with for fantasy purposes.” the article →

    • No. 12Derek Brownsaid Sep 7Pending

      Oronde Gadsden II to be 3rd on the depth chart

      “I would drop Ronde. I think he's gonna be tight end three in that rotation, man.” the article →

  • Tuli TuipulotuSack leader · LB

    3 sacks · 15 solo tackles · 1 interception · 8 games · 51st in the NFL in sacks

    • No. 23Jordan Dajanisaid Oct 29Pending

      Tuli Tuipulotu to move — “potential trade chip”

      “Khalil Mack is the Chargers' pass rusher everyone is talking about, but LA has another intriguing talent in Tuipulotu. (listed among 25 potential trade chips)” the article →

    • No. 40JP Acostasaid Nov 6Pending

      Tuli Tuipulotu to sign a new deal with Los Angeles Chargers

      “I think his Chargers teammate Tuli Tuipulotu gets an extension from LA that keeps him around, but Mack is still a quality pass rusher and sets a physical edge.” the article →

  • Daiyan HenleyTackle leader · LB

    0.5 sacks · 21 solo tackles · 1 interception · 8 games · 140th in the NFL in solo tackles

    • No. 18Carter Bahnssaid Nov 11Pending

      Daiyan Henley to be 3rd on the depth chart

      “Daiyan Henley projects to step back from his starting job with the Chargers and assume a rotational role behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad” the article →

Bills

  • Josh AllenStarting QB · QB

    2,027 passing yards · 12 TD, 6 INT · 66.1% completions · 285 rushing yards · 8 games · 12th in the NFL in passing yards

    • No. 2Joe Marinosaid Sep 7Pending

      Josh Allen to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards

      “Josh Allen, best quarterback in the league, continuity with the coaching, an upgrade in DJ Moore” the article →

    • No. 4Bryan DeArdosaid Sep 23Pending

      Josh Allen to win MVP

      “If the MVP vote happened today, Allen would be the winner .” the article →

  • James CookRB1 · RB

    814 rushing yards on 169 carries · 8 TD · 12 catches for 110 · 8 games · 5th in the NFL in rushing yards

    • No. 2Joe Marinosaid Aug 28Hit · 100

      James Cook to make the roster

      “the three running backs you would expect, James Cook, Ray Davis, and Ty Johnson” the article →

    • No. 12Derek Brownsaid Sep 1Pending

      James Cook to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points

      “James Cook, I'm all in. I think we see he sets a career high in receptions, the top three running back season.” the article →

  • Khalil ShakirWR1 · WR

    31 catches for 412 yards · 1 TD · 8 games · 35th in the NFL in receiving yards

    • No. 2Joe Marinosaid Aug 28Hit · 100

      Khalil Shakir to make the roster

      “DJ Moore, Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Joshua Palmer, Skyler Bell, Trent Sherfield, the six that I have making it.” the article →

    • No. 8Pat Fitzmauricesaid Sep 21Pending

      Khalil Shakir to be 2nd on the depth chart

      “Even if Moore is out this week, Shakir is probably no better than the No. 2 target in the Buffalo passing attack behind surging tight end Dalton Kincaid.” the article →

  • Dalton KincaidTE1 · TE

    30 catches for 429 yards · 2 TD · 8 games · 32nd in the NFL in receiving yards

    • No. 2Joe Marinosaid Aug 28Hit · 100

      Dalton Kincaid to make the roster

      “At tight end, I have the Bills keeping three, Jackson Hawes, Dalton Kinkade, Dawson Knox” the article →

    • No. 8Pat Fitzmauricesaid Aug 11Pending

      Dalton Kincaid to fall short of his draft cost (TE11, Overall RK114 | ECR vs. ADP: -14)

      “if he plays limited snaps again this season and his efficiency numbers regress to career norms, Kincaid could disappoint. It's best to regard him as a high-end TE2 for fantasy drafts.” the article →

  • Greg RousseauSack leader · LB

    8 sacks · 17 solo tackles · 8 games · 2nd in the NFL in sacks

    • No. 2Joe Marinosaid Aug 28Hit · 100

      Greg Rousseau to make the roster

      “I have the Bills keeping five. Bradley Chubb, Greg Russo, TJ Parker, Michael Hoyt, and Javon Solomon.” the article →

  • Amani HookerTackle leader · S

    32 solo tackles · 5 interceptions · 7 games · 34th in the NFL in solo tackles

    • No. 23Jordan Dajanisaid Oct 29Pending

      Amani Hooker to move — “could be moved if they found a good offer”

      “I'm not sure the Titans are actively shopping Hooker, but he could be moved if they found a good offer.” the article →

Our write-up of how the room did: Bills 24, Chargers 16: The Field Called the Winner Right, Pete Prisco Nearly Called the Number →

Every call on Chargers at Bills

1–22 of 22

  • Hit · 100Carmen VitaliGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers

    Buffalo looks incredible unstoppable improbable all of the things so it's a it's a big spread uh i think i'm still taking it

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 26, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Tracy SandlerGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers

    Breaks my heart for Jim Harbaugh to start a season 0-3, but I'm going to have to go with the Bills.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 26, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers

    Now I think they're gonna lose this game, but they cannot get blown out... I don't think Justin Herbert's gonna out outgun Josh Allen.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 25, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Eric ManginiGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Los Angeles Chargers to beat Buffalo Bills

    I'm taking the chargers over the Buffalo Bills... So Chargers over the Bills.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 100-189 skillsaid Sep 25, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Dwight FreeneyGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat chargers

    But you're asking me a lot from a team that has a lot of mistakes and a lot of things to fix... so, you know, I would not hold my breath if you're a big charges fan holding that they can win in this game.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 25, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris SimmsScore Predictions2026 season

    Buffalo Bills 35 — Chargers 27

    So now I'm going to go Buffalo wins by eight... I got Buffalo winning thirty five twenty seven

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 83.04+32.06 skillsaid Sep 25, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Chris LongGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers

    And I think the Bills are a fucking wagon right now. And the game's in Buffalo... So, they can't they can't lose this game. And I can't see them honestly winning it, but if they do, I'll sit here and be I'll be impressed.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 25, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Eric WilliamsGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Los Angeles Chargers to beat Buffalo Bills

    get ready for the Chargers to do Chargers things on the road against the best team in the NFL in the Buffalo Bills, right? Nope, when everyone expects them to fall on their face, these are the moments the Chargers rise up and hit teams over their heads.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 100-189 skillsaid Sep 25, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Los Angeles Chargers to beat Buffalo Bills

    But because the Bills are wearing those great jerseys, I think they're gonna lose. Oh, so you're legitimately picking the charges here. Yes.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 100-189 skillsaid Sep 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat L.A. Chargers

    Got the Bills.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Mitchell EisensteinGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat L.A. Chargers

    I like the Bills, too... Buffalo Bills, 3-0.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 24, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 93Tyler SullivanScore Predictions2026 season

    Buffalo Bills 31 — Chargers 20

    Projected score : Bills 31, Chargers 20

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 82.07+20.39 skillsaid Sep 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 98Pete PriscoScore Predictions2026 season

    Buffalo Bills 32 — Chargers 23

    Pick: Bills 32, Chargers 23

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 82.07+29.39 skillsaid Sep 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Carter BahnsGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers

    in order to salvage the first month of the campaign, the Chargers have to right their wrongs on the road against the Buffalo Bills and Seattle Seahawks. That feels unachievable.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 23, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Los Angeles Chargers

    They're facing the Los Angeles Chargers this week; good luck to Los Angeles there.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 22, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Henry McKennaGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers

    They travel to Buffalo and then Seattle. ... I don't see the Chargers winning any of the games.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 22, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 95Matt SeveranceScore Predictions2026 season

    Buffalo Bills 31 — Chargers 21

    The SportsLine Projection Model has Buffalo winning 31-21.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 82.07+24.89 skillsaid Sep 22, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 95John BreechScore Predictions2026 season

    Buffalo Bills 34 — Chargers 24

    Bills 34-24 over Chargers

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 82.07+24.89 skillsaid Sep 22, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Greg AumanGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers

    Their next two games? At the Bills and at the Seahawks, where they'll do really well to avoid being 0-4 when they host the Broncos in Week 5.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 21, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0David DroegemeierGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Los Angeles Chargers to beat bills

    I feel like the chargers can beat the bills, and I feel like they will. I think that's gonna be a a big shot game.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Sep 8, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Kevin WildesGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers

    I have them beating the Chargers.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 4, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100John BreechGame Outcome Picks2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Chargers

    Chargers (at Bills). The Chargers have to fly across the country to face a Bills team that will be coming into this game on 10 days of rest...

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 19, 2026the article →