Play “Picks”

Peter MillerOct 28, 2026

Miller expects Josh Downs to be moved before the Nov. 10 deadline as the Colts continue their teardown, floating the Steelers, Chiefs and Patriots as landing spots and a Day 3 pick as reasonable compensation.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100

Trade and Signing CallsThe callsettled

0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

+161Skillafter difficulty

What Peter Miller said

The Indianapolis Colts ' roster teardown is gaining momentum, and Josh Downs could be the next player out the door.

Our reading: Josh Downs to move — “could be the next player out the door”

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Josh Downs' Trade Request Pushes Colts Further Toward Full Rebuild
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 28
GradedNov 11

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Trade and Signing Calls Josh Downs
Josh Downs to move — “could be the next player out the door”
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.61difficulty+161skill
How this was scored
skill:
161
player:
Josh Downs
season:
2026
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
IND
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
reported:
traded → KC
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
1.61
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Josh Downs

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.
Noah Compton · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Compton expects the rebuilding Colts to keep dealing veterans before the November 10 deadline, naming Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs and Grover Stewart as the likeliest remaining trade candidates, and believes Indianapolis should and likely will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones, while Shane Steichen keeps starting Jones in the meantime.
Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.
Jordan Schultz · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Schultz expects Jonathan Taylor to be traded for at least a second-round pick plus additional compensation, and believes Josh Downs will ultimately be dealt for a fourth-round pick rather than the third the Colts are seeking.
Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.
Adam Schefter · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Schefter, as relayed on the show, said they expect Josh Downs to be traded.

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
Patricia Traina · Trade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery.
Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.
Mike Fanelli · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Fanelli suggested Keenan Allen may be dealt away from Indianapolis, with Week 9 potentially their final appearance for the Colts.

Discussed alongside these