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Patrick ClaybonAug 21, 2025

Claybon drafted Ja'Marr Chase third, then Derrick Henry, Ashton Jeanty, Brock Bowers, Tyreek Hill and Terry McLaurin, and said McLaurin will again be the Commanders' No. 1 receiver despite their contract standoff.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
88.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
70.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Patrick Claybon said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think I love getting Terry in the spot and he's gonna be He's gonna be the wide receiver one, he's gonna score touchdowns.
Patrick Claybon, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Fantasy Football Mock Draft + Latest News
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidAug 21, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Fantasy Rankings“Patrick's picks: Ja'Marr Chase 3rd, Derrick Henry 8th, Ashton Jeanty 13th, Brock Bowers 18th, Tyreek Hill 23rd, Terry McLaurin 28th.”
  2. 2Terry McLaurin to be 1st on the depth chart“I love getting Terry in the spot and he's gonna be He's gonna be the wide receiver one, he's gonna score touchdowns.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
“Patrick's picks: Ja'Marr Chase 3rd, Derrick Henry 8th, Ashton…”1Fantasy Rankings—8550+70
Terry McLaurin to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart CallsNo. 291.6791.670
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled88.370.8

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 fantasy ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 88.3 out of 100, against 70.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Fantasy Rankings

    “Patrick's picks: Ja'Marr Chase 3rd, Derrick Henry 8th, Ashton Jeanty 13th, Brock Bowers 18th, Tyreek Hill 23rd, Terry McLaurin 28th.”

    VerdictHit
    85Hit · naive 50
    85this call50a naive guess35better than naive2difficulty+70skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    70
    placed:
    5
    season:
    2025
    players:
    6
    accuracy:
    85
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    WR 3: 75, RB 2: 100
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsTerry McLaurinWashington Commanders

    Terry McLaurin to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by receptions
    91.67Hit · naive 91.67
    91.67this call91.67a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    WAS
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Terry McLaurin
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    88.3naive 70.8

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