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Writes at Around the NFL (podcast)
Across 19 graded calls in 8 articles, Patrick Claybon scores 66.47% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 14.78, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 66 calls · one square per call
10hits53% of graded
2Close11%
7misses37%
47
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
19 graded calls in 8 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Patrick Claybon, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Patrick Claybon isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Mansoor Delane to be 1st cornerback off the board
“But I think Mensword Delanne you could easily make the case, you know, even with a healthy MD McCoy could be the CB one in this draft”
David Bailey to be picked “a good top four player” (picks 1–4)
“He's the best player on that defense. I think he's a good top four Player.”
Trevor Lawrence to record 19 fantasy points
“I am forecasting a relatively nice, surprisingly nice nineteen points for Trevor Lawrence”
Brock Bowers to record 10 fantasy points
“You get just north to ten points.”
A.J. Brown to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“So I think AJ has a chance to be the wide receiver one.”
Bijan Robinson to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“You're obviously gonna start Jon Robinson, but I think he will be the RB one.”
De'Von Achane to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“the Steelers have allowed the most rush yards per game in the NFL in the last four weeks. So I think a Chan is your RB one.”
Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl
“So I will have them going to the Super Bowl and losing for the third consecutive year.”
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“I look, Buffalo is going to the playoffs.”
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
“I'm picking to Baltimore Ravens to the super Bowl again”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Atlanta Falcons
“I like the Bucks this one.”
Closing line (Sep 7): Buccaneers by 1.5 · a toss-up, Buccaneers 51%, Falcons 49%.
Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl
“I'm picking to Baltimore Ravens to the super Bowl again ... I've got Ravens Overpacker.”
“Patrick's picks: Ja'Marr Chase 3rd, Derrick Henry 8th, Ashton Jeanty 13th, Brock Bowers 18th, Tyreek Hill 23rd, Terry McLaurin 28th.”
Terry McLaurin to be 1st on the depth chart
“I love getting Terry in the spot and he's gonna be He's gonna be the wide receiver one, he's gonna score touchdowns.”