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Matt Verderame· Oct 11, 2026

Verderame argues the 0-5 Titans are headed for a premium pick in the 2027 draft, possibly No. 1 overall, and that Cam Ward isn't the long-term answer. He also sees Minnesota, now 5-0, continuing to roll with two winnable games against the Colts and Lions ahead.

“At 0–5, the Titans are headed for a top pick in the 2027 draft, perhaps even the No. 1 choice.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Minnesota Vikings to beat Lions

    “Minnesota has two winnable games ahead, the Colts and the Lions, before a Monday night showdown in Week 8 at home against the Bills.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-178 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    15-19
    skill:
    −178
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Think this is wrong?

  • Minnesota Vikings to beat Colts

    “Minnesota has two winnable games ahead, the Colts and the Lions, before a Monday night showdown in Week 8 at home against the Bills.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    10-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    MIN
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tennessee Titans to pick “a top pick in the 2027 draft, perhaps even the No. 1 choice”

    “At 0–5, the Titans are headed for a top pick in the 2027 draft, perhaps even the No. 1 choice.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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