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John Breech· Oct 27, 2026

Breech made score predictions for all Week 8 games, including the Bills beating the Ravens either way on Lamar Jackson's status, the Vikings edging the Lions, the Browns sweeping the Steelers, the Chiefs winning in Denver and the Seahawks handling the Bears on Monday night.

“For the first time since Ronald Reagan was president, the Browns are going to sweep the Steelers.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

15 checkable claims — 15 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 15 have settled, averaging 60.5 out of 100, against 58.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

15 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Seattle Seahawks 27 — Bears 20

    “PICK: Seahawks 27-20 over Bears”

    Miss · 26Scored 26.19a naive guess scored 10.88+24.65 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    24.65
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    26.19
    baseline:
    10.88
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.57
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 7) and more points (47).

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  • Kansas City Chiefs 20 — Broncos 16

    “PICK: Chiefs 20-16 over Broncos”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 92.18-67.91 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-28
    skill:
    −67.91
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    92.18
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 1): Broncos by 1.5, total 41.5 · this 20–16 calls a Chiefs win (by 4; the line gave the Chiefs 50%) and fewer points (36).

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  • Washington Commanders 23 — Eagles 16

    “Commanders 23-16 over Eagles”

    Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 61.23+24.09 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-27
    skill:
    24.09
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    61.23
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Nov 1): Commanders by 6, total 40.5 · this 23–16 calls a bigger Commanders win (by 7) and fewer points (39).

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  • New England Patriots 31 — Dolphins 17

    “Patriots 31-17 over Dolphins”

    Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 39.8+62.42 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-19
    skill:
    62.42
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    78.57
    baseline:
    39.8
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    14

    Closing line (Nov 1): Patriots by 7, total 41.5 · this 31–17 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 14) and more points (48).

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  • Los Angeles Rams 31 — Chargers 20

    “Rams 31-20 over Chargers”

    Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 65.99+39.42 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    9-24
    skill:
    39.42
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    90.48
    baseline:
    65.99
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Rams by 6.5, total 46.5 · this 31–20 calls a bigger Rams win (by 11) and more points (51).

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  • Buffalo Bills 34 — Ravens 24

    “PICK (No Lamar): Bills 34-24 over Ravens”

    Close · 62Scored 61.9a naive guess scored 50+19.17 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-36
    skill:
    19.17
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    61.9
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3, total 54.5 · this 34–24 calls a bigger Bills win (by 10) and more points (58).

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  • Cleveland Browns 23 — Steelers 20

    “PICK: Browns 23-20 over Steelers”

    Miss · 7Scored 7.14a naive guess scored 51.13-70.82 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    6-27
    skill:
    −70.82
    they picked:
    CLE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    7.14
    baseline:
    51.13
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5, total 38.5 · this 23–20 calls a Browns win (by 3; the line gave the Browns 36%) and more points (43).

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  • Minnesota Vikings 19 — Lions 16

    “PICK: Vikings 19-16 over Lions”

    Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 91.61-70.82 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    15-19
    skill:
    −70.82
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    47.62
    baseline:
    91.61
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 1): Lions by 3, total 46.5 · this 19–16 calls a Vikings win (by 3; the line gave the Vikings 40%) and fewer points (35).

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  • Atlanta Falcons 30 — Buccaneers 23

    “Falcons 30-23 over Buccaneers”

    Miss · 29Scored 28.57a naive guess scored 63.03-55.48 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    0-16
    skill:
    −55.48
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    28.57
    baseline:
    63.03
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Nov 1): Buccaneers by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 30–23 calls a Falcons win (by 7; the line gave the Falcons 46%) and more points (53).

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  • Jacksonville Jaguars 30 — Colts 27

    “Jaguars 30-27 over Colts”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    7-42
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    35
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 1): Jaguars by 10, total 45.5 · this 30–27 calls a closer game (Jaguars by 3) and more points (57).

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  • Buffalo Bills 34 — Ravens 31

    “PICK (Lamar plays): Bills 34-31 over Ravens”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-36
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3, total 54.5 · this 34–31 calls the line’s margin (Bills by 3) and more points (65).

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  • Las Vegas Raiders 20 — Jets 17

    “Raiders 20-17 over Jets”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 39.22+90.18 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    38-33
    skill:
    90.18
    they picked:
    LV
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    39.22
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 1): Jets by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 20–17 calls a Raiders win (by 3; the line gave the Raiders 47%) and fewer points (37).

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  • Cincinnati Bengals 24 — Titans 17

    “Bengals 24-17 over Titans”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 84.46+25.02 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    36-43
    skill:
    25.02
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    84.46
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bengals by 13.5, total 45.5 · this 24–17 calls a closer game (Bengals by 7) and fewer points (41).

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  • Dallas Cowboys 27 — Cardinals 23

    “Cowboys 27-23 over Cardinals”

    Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 43.99+5.85 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    33-30
    skill:
    5.85
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    47.62
    baseline:
    43.99
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 1): Cowboys by 7, total 54.5 · this 27–23 calls a closer game (Cowboys by 4) and fewer points (50).

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  • Green Bay Packers 30 — Panthers 23

    “Packers 30-23 over Panthers”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 79.94+28.47 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-27
    skill:
    28.47
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    79.94
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    −0.43
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5, total 47.5 · this 30–23 calls a bigger Packers win (by 7) and more points (53).

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