Skip to main content

Mike Kadlick#16 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 27, 2026

Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 2 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 3Settled2 still waiting
#16Mike Kadlick’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Mike Kadlick said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Here are three potential landing spots for the shifty wide receiver.
Mike Kadlick, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Josh Downs Trade Destinations: Three Best Landing Spots for Wide Receiver As Colts Continue to Sell
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 27
  2. GradedNov 11
  1. 1Josh Downs to move to Kansas City Chiefs“Kansas City Chiefs ... Downs would give Andy Reid and the Chiefs’ offense a seasoned, reliable, underneath target as they look to add a spark for the stretch run.”
  2. 2Josh Downs to move to San Francisco 49ers“San Francisco 49ers ... Downs would bring an important element to the 49ers amid their 6–1 start to the season.”
  3. 3Josh Downs to move to New England Patriots“New England Patriots ... Downs also makes sense for the Patriots given his connection with Maye.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Josh Downs to move to Kansas City Chiefs1Trade and Signing Calls—1000+161
Josh Downs to move to San Francisco 49ers2Trade and Signing Calls————
Josh Downs to move to New England Patriots3Trade and Signing Calls————
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 waiting1000

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsJosh DownsKansas City Chiefs

    Josh Downs to move to Kansas City Chiefs

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.61difficulty+161skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    161
    player:
    Josh Downs
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    KC
    was with:
    IND
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → KC
    how he left:
    traded
    mechanism:
    traded
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    1.61
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsJosh DownsSan Francisco 49ers

    Josh Downs to move to San Francisco 49ers

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsJosh DownsNew England Patriots

    Josh Downs to move to New England Patriots

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.