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Mike Kadlick writes for Sports Illustrated, covering the NFL with predictions on game outcomes, player movement, depth charts and awards. The work touches teams including the Chiefs, 49ers, Lions, Bears and Bills, and players such as Josh Downs, Josh Sweat and Fernando Mendoza.
Across 46 graded calls in 16 articles, Mike Kadlick scores 56.03% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 41.13, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #16 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 89 calls · one square per call
28hits61% of graded
2Close4%
16misses35%
43
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Mike Kadlick writes for Sports Illustrated, covering the NFL with predictions on game outcomes, player movement, depth charts and awards. The work touches teams including the Chiefs, 49ers, Lions, Bears and Bills, and players such as Josh Downs, Josh Sweat and Fernando Mendoza.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
46 graded calls in 16 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Mike Kadlick, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Mike Kadlick would be #59; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #16.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hondo Carpenter | 46.67 | 70% | 13 |
| 15 | Mike Florio | 45.89 | 64.67% | 40 |
| 16 | Mike Kadlick | 41.13 | 56.03% | 46 |
| 17 | Nate Tice | 38.36 | 69.01% | 71 |
| 18 | Carter Bahns | 37.74 | 64.23% | 36 |
New York Giants to beat Commanders
“Commanders at Giants — Mike Kadlick: Giants”
Closing line (Nov 12): Giants by 1.5 · a toss-up, Commanders 47%, Giants 53%.
Chicago Bears to beat Seahawks
“Mike Kadlick: Bears”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%.
Chicago Bears to beat Seattle Seahawks
“Mike Kadlick, SI : Chicago Bears”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%.
Josh Downs to move to Kansas City Chiefs
“Kansas City Chiefs ... Downs would give Andy Reid and the Chiefs’ offense a seasoned, reliable, underneath target as they look to add a spark for the stretch run.”
Miami Dolphins to beat Jets
“Mike Kadlick: Dolphins”
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5 · underdog pick, Dolphins about 1 in 3 (34%).
Seattle Seahawks to beat Broncos
“Mike Kadlick: Seahawks”
Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 58%.