Christian Rauh· Oct 1, 2026
Rau picked Jacksonville to beat Cincinnati in Cincinnati, calling the Jaguars the better team because he doubts the Bengals' defense, and he expects Baltimore to blow out a struggling Titans team.
“So I'll take Jacksonville.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast) · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Titans at Ravens 18 calls
- Jaguars at Bengals 32 calls
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensOct 1, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to beat Tennessee
“Eight first half first downs. They're about to probably get walloped by Baltimore.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BAL
- score:
- 18-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
Closing line (Oct 4): Ravens by 11.5 · favorite pick, Ravens about 6 in 7 (85%).
- Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsOct 1, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Cincinnati
“I am very suspect on Cincinnati's defense... So, I think Jacksonville wins that game... I think they're the better team if I had the power rankings. So I'll take Jacksonville.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 22-17
- skill:
- 183
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CIN
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
Closing line (Oct 4): Bengals by 2.5 · underdog pick, Jaguars 43%.
What others said about the same people
- Pat FitzmauriceScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 90Fitzmaurice picked Jacksonville to edge Cincinnati in a one-point nail-biter, took the Saints over the Falcons on Monday night, pegged Jeremiah Love as an RB11 for the rest of the season, and expected several banged-up players to sit out Week 4.
- Derek BrownScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 95Brown forecast a Jaguars shootout win in Cincinnati, took the Saints to beat the Falcons on Monday night, ranked Jeremiah Love as an RB15 rest-of-season (while saying he'd move up), and expected Jacoby Brissett to remain Arizona's quarterback for the year and Jalen Wright to be back in Miami's backfield.
- Damonza ByrdSeason Win Totals · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as his favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one.
- Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; he also likes the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · Baltimore RavensMiss · 0Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. He also makes a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100In part two of his gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Derek BrownGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Brown forecast a Jaguars shootout win in Cincinnati, took the Saints to beat the Falcons on Monday night, ranked Jeremiah Love as an RB15 rest-of-season (while saying he'd move up), and expected Jacoby Brissett to remain Arizona's quarterback for the year and Jalen Wright to be back in Miami's backfield.
- Pat FitzmauriceGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Fitzmaurice picked Jacksonville to edge Cincinnati in a one-point nail-biter, took the Saints over the Falcons on Monday night, pegged Jeremiah Love as an RB11 for the rest of the season, and expected several banged-up players to sit out Week 4.
- Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Cowherd praised Dak Prescott as the stabilizing force of the Cowboys and picked Dallas to beat Tampa Bay in their Week 5 matchup, while calling the Dallas coaching staff average.
- Mike KadlickGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Previewing Week 5 of the 2026 season, Kadlick picks the Bengals to blow out the Dolphins, the Cowboys to beat the Buccaneers comfortably, and the Chargers to finally win at home against the Broncos. He also expects Jayden Daniels back for Washington, Michael Pittman Jr. possibly out for Pittsburgh, and names the Week 5 starting quarterbacks for Tampa Bay, Chicago and New York.
- Caleb SkinnerGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Skinner expects the winless Buccaneers to lose their Thursday night road game against the Cowboys, citing Tampa Bay's 0-4 start and a depleted secondary.
- Mitchell EisensteinGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0The co-host (identified only as Mitchell) picked the 49ers to win in Seattle, made Week 5 picks across several games, ranked San Francisco first in his power rankings, took Dallas to win the NFC East and said Chicago wins the NFC North.