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Rich Eisen· Aug 25, 2025

Eisen predicted the same AFC North order as TJ Jefferson — Ravens win the division, Steelers second, Bengals third, Browns last — and said the Steelers make the playoffs again. He also said Shedeur Sanders will make the Browns' 53-man roster and that Dillon Gabriel would be the backup if Flacco goes down, with Flacco as starter.

“But I think at the end of the day, though, the Steelers are are too good, and I think they do make the playoffs again.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

6 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick, 1 power ranking and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 81.7 out of 100, against 63.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Shedeur Sanders to make the roster

    “With any of these guys, like, Shador is gonna make the team outstanding.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

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  • Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    “And I'm going to give you my AFC North predictions. I do believe the Ravens win it.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no

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  • Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs

    “But I think at the end of the day, though, the Steelers are are too good, and I think they do make the playoffs again.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18

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  • Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I mean, you see why Flacco's the starter. Yeah. End of story.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CIN
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Joe Flacco
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18

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  • Power RankingsAug 25, 2025

    “So you and I are lockstep teaching. Okay? We are. ... I do believe the Ravens win it ... and I do believe the Cleveland Browns do finish last ... I just still think the Steelers are are a better balanced team right now.”

    Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    90
    baseline:
    90
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18

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  • Dillon Gabriel to be 2nd on the depth chart

    “Same thing with Dylan Gabriel. Because at some point, you're if you're gonna keep picking, that's the guy if Flacco goes down. He's the backup.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Dillon Gabriel
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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