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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 25, 2025

Eisen predicted the same AFC North order as TJ Jefferson — Ravens win the division, Steelers second, Bengals third, Browns last — and said the Steelers make the playoffs again. They also said Shedeur Sanders will make the Browns' 53-man roster and that Dillon Gabriel would be the backup if Flacco goes down, with Flacco as starter.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 6calls landed5 hits · 1 miss · all settled
81.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
63.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6 of 6Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But I think at the end of the day, though, the Steelers are are too good, and I think they do make the playoffs again.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
AFC North Predictions
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidAug 25, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–Sep 25, 2026
  1. 1Shedeur Sanders to make the roster“With any of these guys, like, Shador is gonna make the team outstanding.”
  2. 2Baltimore Ravens to win the division“And I'm going to give you my AFC North predictions. I do believe the Ravens win it.”
  3. 3Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs“But I think at the end of the day, though, the Steelers are are too good, and I think they do make the playoffs again.”
  4. 4Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart“I mean, you see why Flacco's the starter. Yeah. End of story.”
  5. 5Power Rankings“So you and I are lockstep teaching. Okay? We are. ... I do believe the Ravens win it ... and I do believe the Cleveland Browns do finish last ... I just still think the Steelers are are a better balanced team right now.”
  6. 6Dillon Gabriel to be 2nd on the depth chart“Same thing with Dylan Gabriel. Because at some point, you're if you're gonna keep picking, that's the guy if Flacco goes down. He's the backup.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Shedeur Sanders to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls17 weeks on a 531000+200
Baltimore Ravens to win the division2Division Winners—000
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs3Playoff PicksMade the playoffs1001000
Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart4Depth Chart CallsNo. 110091.67+16.67
“So you and I are lockstep teaching. Okay? We are. ... I do…”5Power Rankings—90900
Dillon Gabriel to be 2nd on the depth chart6Depth Chart CallsNo. 21001000
6 calls · 5 hits · 1 miss · all settled81.763.6

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

6 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick, 1 power ranking and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 81.7 out of 100, against 63.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happened17 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Division WinnersBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Playoff PicksPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs

    What happenedMade the playoffs
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Depth Chart CallsJoe FlaccoCleveland Browns

    Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit · naive 91.67
    100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive2difficulty+16.67skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CIN
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Joe Flacco
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Power Rankings

    “So you and I are lockstep teaching. Okay? We are. ... I do believe the Ravens win it ... and I do believe the Cleveland Browns do finish last ... I just still think the Steelers are are a better balanced team right now.”

    VerdictHit
    90Hit · naive 90
    90this call90a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    90
    baseline:
    90
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. 6Depth Chart CallsDillon GabrielCleveland Browns

    Dillon Gabriel to be 2nd on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 2called No. 2 · by passing yards
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Dillon Gabriel
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once

    81.7naive 63.6

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