Chris WelshOct 1, 2025

Welsh argued Quentin Johnston should now be viewed as the Chargers' No. 1 receiver, that Jaylen Waddle becomes Miami's de facto No. 1 with Tyreek Hill out, and called Malik Washington a sneaky deeper option.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled

91.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

91.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

0Waitingnot graded yet

What Chris Welsh said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Quinton Johnson now needs to be looked at as the number one in this offense

Chris Welsh, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
The episode: FantasyPros - Week 5 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings & Tiers: Studs, Sleepers, and Must-Starts (Ep. 1745)
The original: Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidOct 1, 2025
GradedAug 5, 2026

1Jaylen Waddle to be 1st on the depth chart“He becomes the de facto number one. I think that puts him in a good spot.”
2Quentin Johnston to be 1st on the depth chart“Quinton Johnson now needs to be looked at as the number one in this offense”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Jaylen Waddle to be 1st on the depth chart¹	Depth Chart Calls	No. 1	100	91.67	+14.83
Quentin Johnston to be 1st on the depth chart²	Depth Chart Calls	No. 3	83.33	91.67	−14.83
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled			91.7	91.7

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 91.7 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said

1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Depth Chart Calls Jaylen Waddle Miami Dolphins
Jaylen Waddle to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by receptions
100Hit · naive 91.67
100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive1.78difficulty+14.83skill
How this was scored
club:
MIA
skill:
14.83
player:
Jaylen Waddle
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
WR
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1.78
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
14
Think this is wrong?
2Depth Chart Calls Quentin Johnston Los Angeles Chargers
Quentin Johnston to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 3called No. 1 · by receptions
83.33Hit · naive 91.67
83.33this call91.67a naive guess−8.34worse than naive1.78difficulty−14.83skill
How this was scored
club:
LAC
skill:
−14.83
player:
Quentin Johnston
season:
2025
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
WR
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
1.78
measured by:
receptions
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
14
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
91.7naive 91.7

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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