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Tyler Sullivan· Nov 5, 2026

Sullivan flags five Week 9 underdogs he expects to pull upsets: the Packers at New England, the Vikings over Buffalo, the winless Chargers over Houston, the Panthers over Denver, and the Falcons over Cincinnati in Madrid.

“With a potentially limited cast around Maye, Green Bay's strength could end up winning the day and the game.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersNov 5, 2026

    Green Bay Packers to beat New England Patriots

    “With a potentially limited cast around Maye, Green Bay's strength could end up winning the day and the game.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    45-27
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · underdog pick, Packers 38%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles ChargersNov 5, 2026

    Los Angeles Chargers to beat Houston Texans

    “Texans allow Chargers their first win ... If they continue to look sluggish defensively, maybe the Texans open the door for the Chargers to catch lightning in a bottle at home.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    44-22
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5 · underdog pick, Chargers about 1 in 3 (33%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksAtlanta FalconsNov 5, 2026

    Atlanta Falcons to beat Cincinnati Bengals

    “If it's a ground-controlled game for Atlanta, that could be the avenue to pulling off the win.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3 · underdog pick, Falcons 38%.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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