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Shanna McCarriston· Oct 3, 2026

She predicts a close game in which the Jaguars beat the Bengals in Cincinnati in Week 4.

“I think this one could be close, but I think the Jaguars will take it.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Bengals

    “I think this one could be close, but I think the Jaguars will take it. ... Pick: Jaguars”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    22-17
    skill:
    183
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

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