Jeff Kerr#68 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 26, 2026
Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. They also forecast practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Jeff Kerr said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromOf the eight UDFAs, Gushiken has the best chance to make the 53.
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Eagles UDFA Report: Ranking Each Rookie's Chances of Making 53-Man Roster
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidAug 26
- GradedSep 25–29
- 1Chance Campbell to make the roster“there's a good chance Chance Campbell makes the roster”
- 2Rocco Underwood to be cut“The Eagles will likely cut Underwood because he's a long snapper and can pass through waivers.”
- 3Maximus Pulley to land on the practice squad“Pulley is going to have a spot on the practice squad.”
- 4Smael Mondon Jr. to make the roster“Smael Mondon will make this team, and there's a good chance Chance Campbell makes the roster.”
- 5Deontae Lawson to land on the practice squad“There will be a practice squad spot available for Lawson.”
- 6Zion Wilson to land on the practice squad“There may be a spot for Wilson on the practice squad.”
- 7Kapena Gushiken to make the roster“Of the eight UDFAs, Gushiken has the best chance to make the 53. He may be the leader in the clubhouse for the final safety spot”
- 8Top Player Lists“Let's rank the eight current undrafted free agents based on their performance in training camp and their roster situation.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance Campbell to make the roster1 | Roster Spot Calls | 2 weeks on a 53 | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| Rocco Underwood to be cut2 | Roster Spot Calls | 3 weeks on a 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Maximus Pulley to land on the practice squad3 | Roster Spot Calls | 1 week on a 53 | 0 | 100 | −200 | |
| Smael Mondon Jr. to make the roster4 | Roster Spot Calls | 3 weeks on a 53 | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Deontae Lawson to land on the practice squad5 | Roster Spot Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Zion Wilson to land on the practice squad6 | Roster Spot Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Kapena Gushiken to make the roster7 | Roster Spot Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| “Let's rank the eight current undrafted free agents based on…”8 | Top Player Lists | — | — | — | — | |
| 8 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · 4 waiting | 50 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive8 checkable claims — 7 roster spot calls and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Roster Spot CallsChance CampbellPhiladelphia Eagles
Chance Campbell to make the roster
What happened2 weeks on a 53100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- PHI
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Chance Campbell
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 3
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 2
2Roster Spot CallsRocco UnderwoodPhiladelphia Eagles
Rocco Underwood to be cut
What happened3 weeks on a 530Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- PHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Rocco Underwood
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he does not make the 53
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
3Roster Spot CallsMaximus PulleyPhiladelphia Eagles
Maximus Pulley to land on the practice squad
What happened1 week on a 530Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×2difficulty=−200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- PHI
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Maximus Pulley
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he lands on the practice squad
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 2
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 1
4Roster Spot CallsSmael Mondon Jr.Philadelphia Eagles
Smael Mondon Jr. to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- PHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Smael Mondon Jr.
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
5Roster Spot CallsDeontae LawsonPhiladelphia Eagles
Deontae Lawson to land on the practice squad
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Roster Spot CallsZion WilsonPhiladelphia Eagles
Zion Wilson to land on the practice squad
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Roster Spot CallsKapena GushikenPhiladelphia Eagles
Kapena Gushiken to make the roster
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“Let's rank the eight current undrafted free agents based on their performance in training camp and their roster situation.”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
50naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Garrett Podell · Game Outcome Picks · Philadelphia Eagles · Miss 0
Podell predicts the Eagles, behind new starting quarterback Joe Milton III, snap their six-game losing streak by upsetting the first-place Giants in Week 9.Zachary Pereles · Score Predictions · Philadelphia Eagles · Miss 17
Pereles picks the Eagles to beat the Commanders on Sunday Night Football, 20-17, expecting Philadelphia's defense to bounce back toward its Week 1 form.“Stanford Steve” Coughlin · Game Outcome Picks · Philadelphia Eagles · Miss 0
Stanford Steve says Atlanta can beat San Francisco outright with Mike Evans out, and that Philadelphia probably wins its Monday night game.Richard Sherman · Score Predictions · Philadelphia Eagles · Miss 17
Sherman went through the full Week 7 slate with scores, picking the 49ers, Seahawks, Packers, Bears, Rams, Vikings, Steelers, Panthers, Texans, Jets, Browns, Broncos and Eagles, and gave a top-five power ranking led by San Francisco.
More roster spot calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.