Jerry Markarian· Oct 11, 2026
After a brutal showing against Green Bay, Markarian suggested Bears cornerback Jaylon Johnson could be released in the offseason if his poor early-season play continues.
“He might be a cut candidate in the offseason if his early performances are a sign of things to come.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Trade and Signing CallsJaylon JohnsonOct 11, 2026
Jaylon Johnson to move — “might be a cut candidate in the offseason”
“He might be a cut candidate in the offseason if his early performances are a sign of things to come.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-178 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- −178
- player:
- Jaylon Johnson
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- CHI
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- how he left:
- not reported
- mechanism:
- released
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- CHI
- weeks left when called:
- 14
What others said about the same people
- Mike MoraitisTrade and Signing Calls · Jaylon JohnsonMiss · 0Moraitis predicts that if Jaylon Johnson's poor play continues, the Bears will release him next offseason given the contract out they hold.
- Mike MoraitisRoster Spot Calls · Jaylon JohnsonHit · 100Moraitis names seven Bears as trade candidates before roster cuts, predicting Kiran Amegadjie and Jedrick Wills are on the roster bubble and likely to be traded, while Ozzy Trapilo avoids an injured list, and listing several players as locks for the 53-man roster.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Adam CarlsonTrade and Signing Calls · Jordan AddisonMiss · 0Carlson names three Vikings he sees as most likely to be dealt before the November 10 trade deadline: receivers Jauan Jennings and Jordan Addison, and linebacker Ivan Pace Jr.
- Adam CarlsonTrade and Signing Calls · Jordan AddisonMiss · 0Carlson names three Vikings he expects could be traded before the end of September: quarterback J.J. McCarthy, wide receiver Jordan Addison and linebacker Ivan Pace.
- Brian PeacockTrade and Signing Calls · Jordan AddisonMiss · 0Peacock delivered a seven-round 49ers mock draft plus projected offseason moves: signing tight end Kyle Pitts, trading Mac Jones to Minnesota and acquiring Jordan Addison, and drafting speed at receiver, edge, safety, center, corner, running back and tackle, with 40-time projections for several prospects.
- Tucker FranklinTrade and Signing Calls · Michael DannaHit · 100Tucker predicted edge David Bailey comes off the board before Ruben Bain Jr., that Peter Woods won't last until the Chiefs' pick at 40 (i.e. goes in round one), and that the Chiefs will cut Mike Danna and Jawaan Taylor.
- Mike KadlickTrade and Signing Calls · Marvin Harrison Jr.Miss · 0With a Marvin Harrison Jr. trade reportedly imminent, Kadlick names three landing spots that make sense for the Cardinals receiver: the Texans (reuniting him with C.J. Stroud), the Raiders (who lack a true No. 1 wideout) and the Patriots (thin at receiver due to injuries).
- Donnie DruinTrade and Signing Calls · Marvin Harrison Jr.Hit · 100Druin writes that Marvin Harrison Jr. is on the move and that early indications point to the Houston Texans as his next destination, where he would join a receiving corps led by Nico Collins.