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Mike Kadlick· Oct 11, 2026

With a Marvin Harrison Jr. trade reportedly imminent, Kadlick names three landing spots that make sense for the Cardinals receiver: the Texans (reuniting him with C.J. Stroud), the Raiders (who lack a true No. 1 wideout) and the Patriots (thin at receiver due to injuries).

“And so, with a trade seemingly imminent, here are three trade destinations for Harrison that make sense.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to New England Patriots

    “New England could still use another body in its wide receiver room as the team continues to deal with injuries. It's worth noting that Vrabel is an alumnus of Ohio State, Harrison's alma mater”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-178 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −178
    player:
    Marvin Harrison Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    NE
    was with:
    ARI
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    how he left:
    traded
    mechanism:
    traded
    difficulty:
    1.78
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    ARI
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Think this is wrong?

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to Houston Texans

    “The Texans have been the presumed landing spot for Harrison since Saturday's news broke, as ESPN reported that Houston has been "squarely in the mix" for the wide receiver. ... Should Harrison be traded to the Texans, he would be reunited with his college quarterback C.J. Stroud”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    178
    player:
    Marvin Harrison Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    HOU
    was with:
    ARI
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → HOU
    how he left:
    traded
    mechanism:
    traded
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    1.78
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Think this is wrong?

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to Las Vegas Raiders

    “Despite his woes with the Cardinals, Harrison has the potential to immediately become the Raiders' top wide receiver target while also giving Kubiak a young, toolsy player to develop in his offensive system”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-178 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −178
    player:
    Marvin Harrison Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    LV
    was with:
    ARI
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    how he left:
    traded
    mechanism:
    traded
    difficulty:
    1.78
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    ARI
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More trade and signing calls

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