Tucker FranklinFeb 16, 2026
Tucker predicted edge David Bailey comes off the board before Ruben Bain Jr., that Peter Woods won't last until the Chiefs' pick at 40 (i.e. goes in round one), and that the Chiefs will cut Mike Danna and Jawaan Taylor.
Said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast)Hear the original
What Tucker Franklin said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromAnd David Bailey is probably going off the board before Ruben Bane is.
- Where it was said
- KC Sports Network (podcast)
- The episode
- That Football Show 2/16: Top 5 Biggest Positional Needs for the Chiefs in the 2026 NFL Offseason
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidFeb 16
- GradedAug 14–Oct 12
- 1Michael Danna to move to Kansas City Chiefs“Mike Dana's probably gonna you're probably gonna have to cut bait with Mike Dana just because of the, cap casualty.”
- 2David Bailey to be drafted ahead of Ruben Bane“And David Bailey is probably going off the board before Ruben Bane is.”
- 3Peter Woods to be picked “probably won't make it to the second round” (picks 33–64)“Peter Woods is another guy that I think he probably won't make it to the second round when the Chiefs pick up 40.”
- 4Jawaan Taylor to move to Kansas City Chiefs“obviously, they're gonna, like, cut you on Taylor to save some money”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Danna to move to Kansas City Chiefs1 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| David Bailey to be drafted ahead of Ruben Bane2 | Prospect vs Prospect Calls | — | 100 | 50 | +50 | |
| Peter Woods to be picked “probably won't make it to the second round” (picks 33–64)3 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 29 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Jawaan Taylor to move to Kansas City Chiefs4 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 3 hits · 1 waiting | 100 | 33.3 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls, 1 mock draft pick and 1 prospect vs prospect call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Trade and Signing CallsMichael DannaKansas City Chiefs
Michael Danna to move to Kansas City Chiefs
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Michael Danna
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- KC
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- released (from BUF)
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Prospect vs Prospect CallsDavid Bailey
David Bailey to be drafted ahead of Ruben Bane
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 50100this call−50a naive guess=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- claim:
- David Bailey drafted ahead of Rueben Bain
- draft:
- 2026
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- David Bailey went 2, Rueben Bain went 15
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- compared to:
- Rueben Bain
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Peter Woods to be picked “probably won't make it to the second round” (picks 33–64)
What happenedWent 29100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Peter Woods
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 29
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- probably won't make it to the second round (NOT picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
4Trade and Signing CallsJawaan TaylorKansas City Chiefs
Jawaan Taylor to move to Kansas City Chiefs
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 33.3
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Patricia Traina · Trade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery.Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.Noah Compton · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Compton expects the rebuilding Colts to keep dealing veterans before the November 10 deadline, naming Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs and Grover Stewart as the likeliest remaining trade candidates, and believes Indianapolis should and likely will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones, while Shane Steichen keeps starting Jones in the meantime.