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Tucker Franklin· Feb 16, 2026

Tucker predicted edge David Bailey comes off the board before Ruben Bain Jr., that Peter Woods won't last until the Chiefs' pick at 40 (i.e. goes in round one), and that the Chiefs will cut Mike Danna and Jawaan Taylor.

“And David Bailey is probably going off the board before Ruben Bane is.”

said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls, 1 mock draft pick and 1 prospect vs prospect call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • David Bailey to be drafted ahead of Ruben Bane

    “And David Bailey is probably going off the board before Ruben Bane is.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    claim:
    David Bailey drafted ahead of Rueben Bain
    draft:
    2026
    skill:
    50
    what happened:
    David Bailey went 2, Rueben Bain went 15
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    compared to:
    Rueben Bain
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Peter Woods to be picked “probably won't make it to the second round” (picks 33–64)

    “Peter Woods is another guy that I think he probably won't make it to the second round when the Chiefs pick up 40.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Peter Woods
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    29
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    probably won't make it to the second round (NOT picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Michael Danna to move to Kansas City Chiefs

    “Mike Dana's probably gonna you're probably gonna have to cut bait with Mike Dana just because of the, cap casualty.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jawaan Taylor to move to Kansas City Chiefs

    “obviously, they're gonna, like, cut you on Taylor to save some money”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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