Mike Moraitis· Aug 24, 2026
Moraitis names seven Bears as trade candidates before roster cuts, predicting Kiran Amegadjie and Jedrick Wills are on the roster bubble and likely to be traded, while Ozzy Trapilo avoids an injured list, and listing several players as locks for the 53-man roster.
“That said, Amegadjie and Wills are far more likely to be moved than Jones and Benedet.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
19 checkable claims — 14 roster spot calls and 5 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
12 of 19 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 83.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
19 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Roster Spot CallsJosh BlackwellChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Josh Blackwell to make the roster
“As things stand now, Jaylon Johnson, Tyrique Stevenson, Malik Muhammad and Josh Blackwell are locked in”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Josh Blackwell
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsAustin BookerChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Austin Booker to make the roster
“they have Montez Sweat, Dayo Odeyingbo, Austin Booker and Daniel Hardy all locked-in”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Austin Booker
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsMontez SweatChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Montez Sweat to make the roster
“they have Montez Sweat, Dayo Odeyingbo, Austin Booker and Daniel Hardy all locked-in”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Montez Sweat
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsDaniel HardyChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Daniel Hardy to make the roster
“they have Montez Sweat, Dayo Odeyingbo, Austin Booker and Daniel Hardy all locked-in”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Daniel Hardy
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsDayo OdeyingboChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Dayo Odeyingbo to make the roster
“they have Montez Sweat, Dayo Odeyingbo, Austin Booker and Daniel Hardy all locked-in”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Dayo Odeyingbo
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsJaylon JohnsonChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Jaylon Johnson to make the roster
“As things stand now, Jaylon Johnson, Tyrique Stevenson, Malik Muhammad and Josh Blackwell are locked in”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jaylon Johnson
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsMalik MuhammadChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Malik Muhammad to make the roster
“As things stand now, Jaylon Johnson, Tyrique Stevenson, Malik Muhammad and Josh Blackwell are locked in”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Malik Muhammad
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsTyrique StevensonChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Tyrique Stevenson to make the roster
“As things stand now, Jaylon Johnson, Tyrique Stevenson, Malik Muhammad and Josh Blackwell are locked in”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Tyrique Stevenson
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsOzzy TrapiloChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Ozzy Trapilo to make the roster
“Even if he isn't ready for Week 1, Trapilo is likely to avoid beginning the season on an injured list, leaving one less tackle spot open on the initial 53.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Ozzy Trapilo
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsNeville GallimoreChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Neville Gallimore to make the roster
“have Gervon Dexter, Grady Jarrett, Neville Gallimore and van den Berg as roster locks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Neville Gallimore
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Jordan van den Berg to make the roster
“With Jordan van den Berg ascending and locked-in to make the 53-man roster”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Jordan van den Berg
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsGrady JarrettChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Grady Jarrett to make the roster
“have Gervon Dexter, Grady Jarrett, Neville Gallimore and van den Berg as roster locks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Grady Jarrett
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Jedrick Wills to move to Chicago Bears
“That said, Amegadjie and Wills are far more likely to be moved than Jones and Benedet.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Trade and Signing CallsJames LynchChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
James Lynch to move to Chicago Bears
“Kentavius Street and James Lynch appear to be the best bets to make the 53-man roster out of the remaining defensive linemen, but one of them will likely have to go. Knowing that, don't be surprised to see either one traded before cuts.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Trade and Signing CallsTerell SmithChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Terell Smith to move to Chicago Bears
“The Bears have been ravaged by injuries in the secondary during the offseason, but Smith could still miss the cut, making him a trade candidate.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Roster Spot CallsGervon Dexter Sr.Chicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Gervon Dexter Sr. to make the roster
“have Gervon Dexter, Grady Jarrett, Neville Gallimore and van den Berg as roster locks”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kentavius Street to move to Chicago Bears
“Kentavius Street and James Lynch appear to be the best bets to make the 53-man roster out of the remaining defensive linemen, but one of them will likely have to go. Knowing that, don't be surprised to see either one traded before cuts.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Roster Spot CallsMarcus DavenportChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Marcus Davenport to make the roster
“Davenport is likely to make Chicago's roster, also, after being signed recently”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kiran Amegadjie to move to Chicago Bears
“That said, Amegadjie and Wills are far more likely to be moved than Jones and Benedet.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsMiss · 0Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsMiss · 0Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
- Tracy SandlerGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick).
- Adam ChudwinGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100In his annual game-by-game Bears prediction, Chudwin went through all 17 games and landed on a 12-5 season for Chicago.
- John BreechGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100A CBS Sports piece predicts the week each NFL team will suffer its first loss, effectively picking winners in each of those games, and names the Ravens as the league's final undefeated team after a 7-0 start.
- Tom JensenRoster Spot Calls · Cole KmetMiss · 0NFL.com published a list of players it expects to be released by cutdown day, headlined by tight ends Dawson Knox, T.J. Hockenson and Cole Kmet.
More roster spot calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Zach ErtzMiss · 0Kerr expects Zach Ertz to be elevated from the practice squad and play in the Eagles' Week 3 Monday night game against the Bears, and to serve as Philadelphia's clear TE1 with Dallas Goedert out.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Chance CampbellHit · 100Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood.
- Carter BahnsRoster Spot Calls · Jeshaun JonesMiss · 0A CBS Sports piece expects suspended Vikings receiver Jeshaun Jones to lose his roster battle and be cut by the Aug. 30 deadline, given Minnesota's established receiver group.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Chance CampbellHit · 100Kerr's third Eagles 53-man roster projection names the players he expects to make the team at each position, with Cole Payton, Elijah Moore, Johnny Wilson, Gabe Hall and Rocco Underwood left off; he also predicts Underwood is exposed to waivers and returns to the practice squad, Deontae Lawson lands on the practice squad, and Eli Stowers is the TE3.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Chance CampbellHit · 100Kerr's updated 53-man roster projection for the Eagles after eight training camp practices, naming which players make the team at each position plus depth-chart placements like Wicks as WR2, Mundt as TE2, Kendall as third guard, Bell as third tackle, and Epps/Carter battling to start at safety.
- Ralph VentreRoster Spot Calls · Christian BenfordMiss · 0Ventre expects Christian Benford's toe injury to sideline him for at least the Week 4 game against New England, and believes the Bills will have to add a cornerback to the 53-man roster this week — likely by moving Benford to injured reserve — with practice squad rookie Kani Walker the most likely player elevated.