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Adam Carlson· Oct 14, 2026

Carlson names three Vikings he sees as most likely to be dealt before the November 10 trade deadline: receivers Jauan Jennings and Jordan Addison, and linebacker Ivan Pace Jr.

“The Vikings could attempt to get some kind of asset for him before the trade deadline instead of continuing to put him on the field.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Jordan Addison to move — “could be traded for a decent draft pick or quality player”

    “Minnesota could get a decent draft pick or a quality player for Addison if they trade him.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-172 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −172
    player:
    Jordan Addison
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    MIN
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    how he left:
    not reported
    mechanism:
    traded
    difficulty:
    1.72
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    MIN
    weeks left when called:
    13

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jauan Jennings to move — “could be traded before the deadline”

    “The Vikings could attempt to get some kind of asset for him before the trade deadline instead of continuing to put him on the field.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Ivan Pace Jr. to move — “could be traded for a mid-round pick”

    “If Minnesota can get a mid-round pick for him, they could give his snaps to Golday and not lose production.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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