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Steven Ruiz· Aug 12, 2026

Ruiz expects the Eagles to trade A.J. Brown once the June 1 dead-cap threshold passes, most likely to New England, and thinks Baker Mayfield will get a Buccaneers extension making him the league's highest-paid quarterback within a month or two. He also argues the Lions may have to let one or two of their 2023 draft class leave, and that Houston should extend C.J. Stroud.

“There's a better-than-good chance that Mayfield will end up as the highest-paid quarterback in the league at some point in the next month or two.”

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2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots

    “Brown, who is still a member of the Eagles even though we've known for weeks that Philly will send him away as soon as it becomes financially feasible to do so. That will happen on June 1 ... both teams have been operating as if Brown will be in a Patriots uniform next season.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    A.J. Brown
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    NE
    was with:
    PHI
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → NE (from PHI)
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

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  • Stefon Diggs to be a starter

    “Stefon Diggs is a free agent but has lost a couple of steps and is mostly a possession receiver at this point in his career.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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