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Ethan HurwitzSep 26, 2026

Hurwitz writes that the elevations of Jeremiah Pharms Jr. and Mike Brown likely mean Leonard Taylor III stays a healthy scratch and Joshua Farmer could be one too for the Week 3 game at Jacksonville, and that both elevated players will revert to the practice squad after Sunday.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 3 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 4Settled3 still waiting
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Ethan Hurwitz said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
With him being added, it would likely mean that Leonard Taylor III (who was inactive last week) will remain a healthy scratch.
Ethan Hurwitz, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Patriots Elevate 2 From Practice Squad: Here's What These Moves Mean
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 26
  2. GradedSep 27
  1. 1Jeremiah Pharms Jr. to land on the practice squad“After Sunday's game in Jacksonville, Pharms and Brown will revert back to the practice squad.”
  2. 2Availability Calls“Joshua Farmer could also be a healthy scratch along the defensive line. (Week 3)”
  3. 3Availability Calls“With him being added, it would likely mean that Leonard Taylor III (who was inactive last week) will remain a healthy scratch. (Week 3 vs. Jacksonville)”
  4. 4Mike Brown to land on the practice squad“After Sunday's game in Jacksonville, Pharms and Brown will revert back to the practice squad.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jeremiah Pharms Jr. to land on the practice squad1Roster Spot Calls1 week on a 530100−189
“Joshua Farmer could also be a healthy scratch along the…”2Availability Calls————
“With him being added, it would likely mean that Leonard Taylor…”3Availability Calls————
Mike Brown to land on the practice squad4Roster Spot Calls————
4 calls · 1 miss · 3 waiting0100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 availability calls and 2 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsJeremiah Pharms Jr.New England Patriots

    Jeremiah Pharms Jr. to land on the practice squad

    What happened1 week on a 53
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.89difficulty−189skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NE
    skill:
    −189
    player:
    Jeremiah Pharms Jr.
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he lands on the practice squad
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    1.89
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    16
    first week on the53:
    3
    weeks on the practice squad:
    2
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Availability CallsJoshua FarmerNew England Patriots

    “Joshua Farmer could also be a healthy scratch along the defensive line. (Week 3)”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Availability CallsLeonard Taylor IIINew England Patriots

    “With him being added, it would likely mean that Leonard Taylor III (who was inactive last week) will remain a healthy scratch. (Week 3 vs. Jacksonville)”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Roster Spot CallsMike BrownNew England Patriots

    Mike Brown to land on the practice squad

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More availability calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.