Jourdan Rodrigue· Aug 27, 2025
Rodrigue picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Jared Verse for Defensive Player of the Year, Ja'Marr Chase for Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, TreVeyon Henderson for Offensive Rookie of the Year and Abdul Carter for Defensive Rookie of the Year, with Jesse Minter for Assistant Coach of the Year and Penei Sewell for Protector of the Year.
“I think that the Patriots rookie running back Travion Henderson could be the offensive Rookie of the Year.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
15 checkable claims — 9 award picks, 3 coach award picks, 2 depth chart calls and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
14 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 21.4 out of 100, against 13.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
- Penei Sewell
- Detroit Lions
- Josh Simmons
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Aidan Hutchinson
- Jared Verse
- Los Angeles Rams
- Patrick Mahomes
- Tetairoa McMillan
- Carolina Panthers
- Adam Thielen
- Minnesota Vikings
- Ja'Marr Chase
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Jihaad Campbell
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Abdul Carter
- New York Giants
- Trayvon Henderson
- New England Patriots
15 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Award PicksPenei SewellDetroit LionsAug 27, 2025
Penei Sewell to win Protector of the Year
“I was looking at Piney Sewel. I really think that because of pine Sewel's like body of work that he's built up to this point, maybe the first one that they give is like Tobody, who's deserved it for a little while.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- protector_of_the_year
- naive:
- we hold no 2024 winner, so the naive pick scored 0
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Penei Sewell
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Joe Thuney
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksJosh SimmonsKansas City ChiefsAug 27, 2025
Josh Simmons to win Protector of the Year
“And my like sleeper pick is if Patrick Mahomes has a MVP season, we have to talk about Josh Simmons at left tackle... or the potential of like surprising everybody and getting this award”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- protector_of_the_year
- naive:
- we hold no 2024 winner, so the naive pick scored 0
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Josh Simmons
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Joe Thuney
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksAidan HutchinsonDetroit LionsAug 27, 2025
Aidan Hutchinson to win Comeback Player of the Year
“But Aiden Hutchinson is probably gonna win that award.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- comeback_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Aidan Hutchinson
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Christian McCaffrey
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksJared VerseLos Angeles RamsAug 27, 2025
Jared Verse to win Defensive Player of the Year
“I think Jared Verse has a real shot whoa defensive Player of the Year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- defensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jared Verse
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Myles Garrett
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksPatrick MahomesKansas City ChiefsAug 27, 2025
Patrick Mahomes to win MVP
“Your MVP for twenty twenty five is... Patrick Mahomes”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Patrick Mahomes
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Tetairoa McMillan to be 1st on the depth chart
“It tells me they like obviously t Mac being their tet. They really really appreciate that he's going to emerge... As their one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CAR
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsAdam ThielenMinnesota VikingsAug 27, 2025
Adam Thielen to be 3rd on the depth chart
“he'll just go back to being the three and the safety net once once you know the injured guys and suspended guys come back”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- PIT
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Adam Thielen
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Coach Award PicksAug 27, 2025
Mike Vrabel to win Coach of the Year
“And so I'm going with Mike Vrabel here”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Mike Vrabel
- naive:
- the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Mike Vrabel
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksJa'Marr ChaseCincinnati BengalsAug 27, 2025
Ja'Marr Chase to win Offensive Player of the Year
“Jamar Chase, I think, is my Offensive Player of the Year pick this year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Ja'Marr Chase
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Coach Award PicksAug 27, 2025
Josh Gazzard to win Assistant Coach of the Year
“And then I also think our sleeper is you know, King Grizzard down in Tampa Bay.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- assistant_coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Josh Grizzard
- naive:
- we hold no 2024 winner, so the naive pick scored 0
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Josh McDaniels
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Coach Award PicksAug 27, 2025
Jesse Minter to win Assistant Coach of the Year
“I'm going Jesse Minter on assistant Coach the Year”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- assistant_coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Jesse Minter
- naive:
- we hold no 2024 winner, so the naive pick scored 0
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Josh McDaniels
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksJihaad CampbellPhiladelphia EaglesAug 27, 2025
Jihaad Campbell to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“Other than that would be my sleeper because I am there there's some magical potential of Johad Campbell in this Eagles”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- defensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jared Verse, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jihaad Campbell
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Carson Schwesinger
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksAbdul CarterNew York GiantsAug 27, 2025
Abdul Carter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“I still picked Abdul Carter to win Defensive Rookie of the year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- defensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jared Verse, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Abdul Carter
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Carson Schwesinger
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksTrayvon HendersonNew England PatriotsAug 27, 2025
Trayvon Henderson to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“It's Trevion Henderson... I think that the Patriots rookie running back Travion Henderson could be the offensive Rookie of the Year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- 60535b9b-35a4-4cef-8277-9325834401d9
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Surprise Team CallsNew England PatriotsAug 27, 2025
New England Patriots to beat expectations
“I believe that he, as the head coach of the Patriots, will lead that team to vastly outperforming, if not at least extremely outperforming the expectations entering the season”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Minnesota VikingsHit · 100Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
More award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Gregg RosenthalAward Picks · Tristan WirfsMiss · 0Rosenthal picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Micah Parsons for Defensive Player of the Year, Jahmyr Gibbs for Offensive Player of the Year, Aaron Glenn for Coach of the Year, Travis Hunter for both Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year, Bill Callahan for Assistant Coach of the Year and Tristan Wirfs for Protector of the Year. He also made depth-chart calls on Adam Thielen and Jalen Coker.
- Brandon SneideAward Picks · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford.
- Nick WrightAward Picks · Rashid ShaheedMiss · 0Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as his dark horse Super Bowl MVP.
- Chris BroussardAward Picks · Cooper KuppMiss · 0Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as his dark horse MVP.
- Danny ParkinsAward Picks · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaMiss · 0Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP.
- Willie ColonAward Picks · Sam DarnoldMiss · 0Colon picked the Seahawks to win 24-14 with Sam Darnold as Super Bowl MVP.