Richard Sherman· Sep 5, 2026
Sherman previewed the AFC, picking the Bills, Chiefs, Ravens and Texans as division winners with Denver, New England and Jacksonville as wild cards, called several individual early-season games, and predicted a big year for Travis Hunter at cornerback.
“I think they win this AFC East.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
20 checkable claims — 7 game outcome picks, 7 playoff picks, 4 division winners, 1 pro bowl and all-pro call and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
7 of 20 have settled so far, averaging 85.7 out of 100, against 57.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Buccaneers at Bengals 31 calls
- Jets at Titans 25 calls
- Bills at Texans 46 calls
- Broncos at Chiefs 45 calls
- Lions at Bills 21 calls
- Steelers at Patriots 20 calls
- Chiefs at Dolphins 17 calls
20 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 5, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Dolphins
“I think the Chiefs are going to, you know, Andy Reid's going to have his team ready to go... but I think they have enough to beat the Dolphins.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 24-10
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 5, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Pittsburgh Steelers
“I think they can find a way to beat the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 3-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsSep 5, 2026
Buffalo Bills to beat Detroit Lions
“Your Detroit Lions, again, that's a tough game to go to Buffalo in their new stadium and get that win. I think Buffalo finds a way in that game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 31-41
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 5, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Denver Broncos
“can they sneak out of there with a win in Arrowhead? Maybe, but probably not with Patrick Mahomes healthy.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 10-31
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsSep 5, 2026
Buffalo Bills to beat Texans
“I think he's going to be a little rusty to start the season. I think Buffalo finds a way to get that game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 36-31
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksTennessee TitansSep 5, 2026
Tennessee Titans to beat Jets
“So I think the Titans may find a way to win that, and the team may be rallying behind him.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NYJ
- score:
- 23-10
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- TEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TEN
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsSep 5, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Tampa Bay Bucs
“Mitchell, if Joe Burrow's upright, I've got them winning that game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CIN
- score:
- 27-33
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CIN
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksDenver BroncosSep 5, 2026
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“Obviously, Denver made the AFC Championship last year. I have to have them there... So we'll go Broncos.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersBuffalo BillsSep 5, 2026
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“So I think they can win the AFC East... I think they win this AFC East.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksBaltimore RavensSep 5, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“you've got the division winners as follows, the Bills, the Chiefs, the Ravens, and the Texans”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksHouston TexansSep 5, 2026
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
“you've got the division winners as follows, the Bills, the Chiefs, the Ravens, and the Texans”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersKansas City ChiefsSep 5, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
“I feel even better about the Kansas City Chiefs winning this division.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersBaltimore RavensSep 5, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“I got Baltimore winning the AFC North.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersHouston TexansSep 5, 2026
Houston Texans to win the division
“I love great defense. Give me Houston.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 5, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“you've got the division winners as follows, the Bills, the Chiefs, the Ravens, and the Texans”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksJacksonville JaguarsSep 5, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“Jacksonville for the sevens.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksNew England PatriotsSep 5, 2026
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
“The Super Bowl runner-ups aren't just going to disappear quietly into the night... They'll be six.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsMiami DolphinsSep 5, 2026
Miami Dolphins to finish with 5–6 wins
“if they can get one, then I think going through the season, you know, maybe that gets them five or six wins this season”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksBuffalo BillsSep 5, 2026
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“you've got the division winners as follows, the Bills, the Chiefs, the Ravens, and the Texans”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Travis Hunter to make All-Pro
“you're probably about to watch Travis Hunter have a potential all pro corner year and still make some impactful plays on offense”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.