Steelers vs Patriots predictions, graded
Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots · Week 2, 2026 · Sun, Sep 20 · Final: Steelers 3, Patriots 20 · Updated
Who do pundits pick in Steelers vs Patriots? Of 18 pundits with a call on record, 14 take the Patriots and 4 take the Steelers. 9 named a score; the median has the Patriots by 4. The Patriots won 20-3, so 14 of 18 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 74 out of 100.
Who the room took
18 pundits · each counted once, by their latest callSteelers vs Patriots picks by outlet
Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.
- CBS Sportsall 4 Patriots
- Green Light with Chris Long (podcast)all 2 Patriots
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)all 2 Patriots
- The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)Patriots 1, Steelers 1
The other 8 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Patriots 5, Steelers 3.
Steelers vs Patriots score predictions
9 pundits named a score; the median call is Patriots by 4, and the final was Patriots by 17.
Each dot is one pundit’s latest score call, placed at the winning margin it named. The solid bar is how the game actually finished. Hover or tap a dot for the pundit and the score.
- Chris SimmsSteelers 23, Patriots 21Miss · 14
- Jordan DajaniPatriots 16, Steelers 13Close · 67
- Chris LongPatriots 27, Steelers 14Hit · 90
- Green Light with Chris LongPatriots 17, Steelers 13Close · 69
- Pete PriscoPatriots 21, Steelers 14Close · 76
- Jared DubinPatriots 21, Steelers 13Close · 79
- Tony FuscoPatriots 3, Steelers 0Close · 67
- Mitchell EisensteinSteelers 24, Patriots 21Miss · 17
- John BreechPatriots 27, Steelers 20Close · 76
Steelers at Patriots: how they came in
The Steelers are 1-0; the Patriots are 0-1. On win totals, 19 pundits put the Steelers at 9.1 wins on average, and 17 pundits put the Patriots at 10 wins on average.
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
- Record coming in
- 1-0 · 20 scored, 13 allowed
- Last games
- W 20-13 vs Falcons Week 1
- Unit ranks
- offense 14th, defense 3rd of 32 (this season)
- Last season
- 10-7
- Win-total calls
- 19 pundits · average 9.1 · 6 to 12 wins
- The room's picks
- the side most pundits took won 1 of 1 Steelers game
- Record coming in
- 0-1 · 10 scored, 13 allowed
- Last games
- L 10-13 at Seahawks Week 1
- Unit ranks
- offense 11th, defense 17th of 32 (this season)
- Last season
- 14-3
- Win-total calls
- 18 pundits · average 10 · 9 to 17 wins
- The room's picks
- the side most pundits took won 1 of 1 Patriots game
Steelers and Patriots players to watch
Each club’s starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit on our leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick (69 pundits clear that bar), made since the 2026 schedule came out. “No.” is their rank there.
Steelers
- Aaron RodgersStarting QB · QB
1,871 passing yards · 13 TD, 6 INT · 60.8% completions · 8 games · 16th in the NFL in passing yards
Aaron Rodgers — Fourth all-time in regular season wins by a starting quarterback: should pass Drew Brees for fourth all-time by season's end
“Barring injury, he should pass Drew Brees for fourth all-time by season's end.” the article →
Aaron Rodgers to move — “will retire from football after the upcoming season”
“Aaron Rodgers will retire from football after the upcoming season. Which means that, when the next season gets started n 2027 (blink your eyes and it'll be here), he'll be doing something other than playing football.” the article →
- Jaylen WarrenRB1 · RB
704 rushing yards on 119 carries · 3 TD · 25 catches for 294 · 8 games · 6th in the NFL in rushing yards
Jaylen Warren to be 1st on the depth chart
“Dowdle has been practicing this week and could return for the Steelers' road game against the Buccaneers, but there is no pretense of Dowdle getting his early-season role back.” the article →
Jaylen Warren to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)
“That makes it tougher to bet on landing a big hit from team RB1 picks (per ADP) going later in Tony Pollard, Jaylen Warren, Chuba Hubbard, Rachaad White, and Aaron Jones” the article →
- DK MetcalfWR1 · WR
33 catches for 378 yards · 1 TD · 8 games · 43rd in the NFL in receiving yards
DK Metcalf to be 1st on the depth chart
“Rodgers has also continued to strengthen his rapport with DK Metcalf (who continues to be Rodgers' unquestioned primary option)” the article →
DK Metcalf to be 1st on the depth chart
“Metcalf should lead the way for Pittsburgh's passing attack in Week 1.” the article →
- Darnell WashingtonTE1 · TE
19 catches for 254 yards · 3 TD · 8 games · 99th in the NFL in receiving yards
- T.J. WattSack leader · LB
7.5 sacks · 13 solo tackles · 1 interception · 7 games · 4th in the NFL in sacks
T.J. Watt to make Pro Football Hall of Fame
“Watt is an all-time great pass rusher, and he might not even be close to done yet.” the article →
T.J. Watt to win Defensive Player of the Year
“But give me T.J. Watt in Pittsburgh.” the article →
- Payton WilsonTackle leader · LB
1 sack · 35 solo tackles · 1 interception · 8 games · 20th in the NFL in solo tackles
Patriots
- Drake MayeStarting QB · QB
2,282 passing yards · 18 TD, 11 INT · 65.4% completions · 219 rushing yards · 9 games · 6th in the NFL in passing yards
Drake Maye to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points
“But yeah, he's either high-end or mid-range QB1, and everyone should be starting him. And the Drake May panic of a week ago was never justified.” the article →
Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
“Maye should be considered a strong top-five fantasy quarterback option with the ability to push Josh Allen for the QB1 spot if everything goes his way in 2026.” the article →
- Rhamondre StevensonRB1 · RB
399 rushing yards on 102 carries · 4 TD · 26 catches for 258 · 9 games · 22nd in the NFL in rushing yards
Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart
“Unless Stevenson falls off in 2026, he should remain the lead back for New England after playing at least 57% of the snaps in nine of his 14 games played in 2025.” the article →
Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart
“things are trending towards Stevenson opening the season with the backfield largely to himself” the article →
- DeMario DouglasWR1 · WR
31 catches for 434 yards · 4 TD · 9 games · 31st in the NFL in receiving yards
DeMario Douglas to be 1st on the depth chart
“With Romeo Doubs on IR with a shoulder injury, DeMario Douglas might be New England’s de facto No. 1 receiver when the Patriots host the Packers this Sunday.” the article →
DeMario Douglas to be 3rd on the depth chart
“New England's top three wide receivers for Sunday will be Kyle Williams, Efton Chism III and DeMario Douglas.” the article →
- Hunter HenryTE1 · TE
32 catches for 361 yards · 2 TD · 9 games · 49th in the NFL in receiving yards
- Elijah PonderSack leader · LB
7.5 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 9 games · 4th in the NFL in sacks
- Christian EllissTackle leader · LB
1.5 sacks · 32 solo tackles · 9 games · 34th in the NFL in solo tackles
“Christian Ellis logged full practices. He's questionable. I think he'll play.” the article →
Every call on Steelers at Patriots
1–23 of 23
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
The good news is I do see a bit of a bounce... I think he'll be solid. I think they will win
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
AFC title game team from last year to get a win at home this week. Patriots or Broncos? I'll go Patriots. Patriots in the rain against Rodgers and the the Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers 23 — Patriots 21
this is gonna be one of my upsets of the week here... I got the Steelers winning this '1 2321
New England Patriots to beat Pittsburgh Steelers
How do you feel about the Pittsburgh Steelers coming to town? We're gonna beat the shit out of them. This is this is gonna be an absolute route.
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Patriots
I would take the Steelers straight up. The line doesn't even matter to me in this game, just because of how well their defense performed in week one.
New England Patriots 16 — Steelers 13
Jordan Dajani on why he likes the Steelers to cover against the Patriots but has New England pulling out the 16-13 victory.
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
I think the Steelers keep it close. I think New England probably wins that game, but I'll take Pittsburgh getting the points.
New England Patriots 27 — Pittsburgh 14
Yeah. I'm seeing, like, $27.14. [27-14, in response to "New England, 26. Pittsburgh, nothing" and a 41.5 total]
New England Patriots to beat Pittsburgh
The next one, as promised, New England and, and Pittsburgh. I think this is a New England spot. I just do... As bad as he looked last week, unless he's hurt, there's something I don't know. I think a lot of last week was mental, and I think this week, they get back on the, on the winning track.
New England Patriots 17 — Pittsburgh Steelers 13
When when when the final score is seventeen thirteen Pats. Yeah. We'll see on Sunday.
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat New England
I'm taking Pittsburgh in this spot. Pittsburgh's defense looked pretty solid.
New England Patriots 21 — Steelers 14
This is a low-scoring game with the Pats winning it. Pick: Patriots 21, Steelers 14
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
And so I am going patriots, but I do think that the the Steelers have enough to kinda keep this one close.
New England Patriots 21 — Steelers 13
Jared Dubin -- Patriots (-5.5) 21-13 over Steelers.
New England Patriots 21 — Steelers 13
Prediction: Patriots 21, Steelers 13
New England Patriots 16 — Steelers 13
Prediction: Patriots 16, Steelers 13
New England Patriots 3 — Steelers 0
he blocks the entire Steelers team from being allowed inside the stadium. Patriots 3, Steelers 0.
New England Patriots to beat Pittsburgh Steelers
I know New England's the favorite... So... I... See you in New England. I got New England.
Pittsburgh Steelers 24 — New England Patriots 21
Give me the Steelers in a road upset. It's going to be close. 24-21 Steelers is what I'm going with.
New England Patriots 27 — Steelers 20
Patriots 27-20 over Steelers
New England Patriots to beat Pittsburgh Steelers
I think they can find a way to beat the Pittsburgh Steelers.
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
home for the Steelers and Aaron Rodgers. Mike McCarthy, nothing. We're winning that game.
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
Steelers (at Patriots). ... this feels like a game New England should win.