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Mike Florio#15 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 18, 2026

Florio reads Todd Monken's practice and preseason plans as a hint that Deshaun Watson has already been chosen as Cleveland's Week 1 starting quarterback over Shedeur Sanders.

Published in writing · NBC SportsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Depth Chart CallsThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#15Mike Florio’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Mike Florio said

If Watson doesn't play with second- and third-stringers on the field, that points to the possibility that Monken has already decided Watson will be the Week 1 starter.
Our reading: Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
Where it was published
NBC Sports
The piece
Did Todd Monken tip his hand about Deshaun Watson being QB1?
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 18
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 18

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Depth Chart CallsDeshaun WatsonCleveland Browns

    Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    week:
    1
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Deshaun Watson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he starts
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    quarterback
    reported:
    named the starter
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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