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Russell BaxterNov 13, 2026

A preview of the Seahawks-Raiders Week 10 matchup that identifies key individual battles but stops short of predicting a winner, score, or statistical outcome. The only forward-looking statements are expectations that Drew Lock makes a second straight start and that Fernando Mendoza makes a first NFL start.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Russell Baxter said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
By all indications, Drew Lock will make his second straight start for Macdonald's team.
Russell Baxter, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
3 Matchups That Will Decide Seahawks’ Week 10 Clash vs. Raiders
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart“Of course, the first overall pick in April's draft is making his first NFL start against the league's top-ranked defense.”
  2. 2Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart“By all indications, Drew Lock will make his second straight start for Macdonald's team.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart1Depth Chart Calls————
Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Fernando Mendoza · 2026 season

66 calls from 45 pundits between 1 and 3. Russell Baxter said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Russell Baxter — 1the room — 66 calls from 45 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against the room

1They said
1The room (55 pundits)

Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Depth Chart CallsDrew LockSeattle Seahawks

    Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.