Moe MotonAug 12, 2026
Moton projects final 2026 records for all 32 NFL teams, naming division winners, both conferences' playoff fields and seedings, with Houston and the Rams as No. 1 seeds, plus a few roster and draft-slot calls.
Published in writingRead the original
What Moe Moton said
Houston bullies its way to the No. 1 seed in the AFC.
- The piece
- Predicting Every NFL Division's Standings for 2026 Season Ahead of Preseason Week 1
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Win Totals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | |
| Playoff Picks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Division Winners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Game Outcome Picks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Trade and Signing Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team Draft Slot Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Seeding, Byes and Home Field | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| All | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63 |
How each call scored
63 checkable claims — 32 season win totals, 14 playoff picks, 8 division winners, 3 depth chart calls, 2 seeding, byes and home field, 2 team draft slot calls, 1 game outcome pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 36 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 37 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 7 and below it on 30.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Fernando Mendoza · 2026 season16 calls from 16 pundits between 1 and 1. Moe Moton said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the room
winsTheir call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.
Season Win Totals32 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 10 wins
“Kansas City Chiefs: 10-7 ... The Chiefs get to 10 wins.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Playoff Picks14 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
“The reigning Super Bowl champions should make it back to the playoffs with resurgent starter Sam Darnold at the helm.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
“Cincinnati gets back to the playoffs with some help from an improved defensive front”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
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Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
“The Patriots win their final regular-season game to punch a ticket to the playoffs.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Depth Chart Calls3 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart
“they're going into the season with journeyman quarterback Jacoby Brissett as their starter”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart
“Cousins starts the season, and rookie Fernando Mendoza finishes it, taking some lumps in the process.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart
“Cousins starts the season, and rookie Fernando Mendoza finishes it, taking some lumps in the process.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Division Winners8 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“The Bills must figure out how to stop the run, but they're the best team in the AFC East.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“The Rams should be the favorite to finish with the NFC's best record this year. ... 1. Los Angeles Rams (13-4)”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
“Dak Prescott and his offensive playmakers get some help from the other side of the ball in a division-winning season.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Houston Texans to win the division
“Houston bullies its way to the No. 1 seed in the AFC.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
“The Saints beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 18 for the NFC South title.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“giving them enough cushion to claim the division title despite a tough late-season stretch”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Detroit Lions to win the division
“NFC ... 2. Detroit Lions (11-6) ... 6. Chicago Bears (10-7)”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Game Outcome Picks1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
New Orleans Saints to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“The Saints beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 18 for the NFC South title.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Trade and Signing Calls1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Josh Sweat to move
“Don't be surprised if the team trades disgruntled pass-rusher Josh Sweat before the deadline.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Team Draft Slot Calls2 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Miami Dolphins to pick “in competition with the Arizona Cardinals for the No. 1 overall pick”
“The Dolphins will be in competition with the Arizona Cardinals for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2027 draft.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Arizona Cardinals to pick “top-three pick” (picks 1–3)
“Arizona will have a top-three pick in the 2027 draft. Book it.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Seeding, Byes and Home Field2 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Los Angeles Rams to take the top seed
“The Rams should be the favorite to finish with the NFC's best record this year. ... 1. Los Angeles Rams (13-4)”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Houston Texans to take the top seed
“Houston bullies its way to the No. 1 seed in the AFC. ... 1. Houston Texans (13-4)”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
San Francisco 49ers, New York Jets, Kansas City Chiefs, Atlanta Falcons, Los Angeles Chargers, Tennessee Titans, Chicago Bears, Seattle Seahawks, Baltimore Ravens, Green Bay Packers, Jacoby Brissett, Arizona Cardinals, Jacksonville Jaguars, Las Vegas Raiders, Los Angeles Rams, New Orleans Saints, Denver Broncos, Dallas Cowboys, Buffalo Bills, Miami Dolphins, Philadelphia Eagles, New York Giants, Cincinnati Bengals, Josh Sweat, Minnesota Vikings, Houston Texans, New England Patriots, Fernando Mendoza, Kirk Cousins, Carolina Panthers, Washington Commanders, Detroit Lions, Cleveland Browns, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Pittsburgh Steelers, Indianapolis Colts
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.