Gerry DulacMar 13, 2025

Dulac expects Aaron Rodgers to land with the Steelers on a deal of no more than two years, says the Giants will draft a quarterback with the No. 3 overall pick, doubts the Steelers will be a Super Bowl contender, predicts Pittsburgh takes a quarterback (liking Jackson Dart and Will Howard) and drafts a receiver by day two or at least round four, and thinks George Pickens won't get a second contract in Pittsburgh.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · all settled

66.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls

43.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

3 of 3Settlednone still waiting

0Waitingnot graded yet

What Gerry Dulac said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I have to think that, you know, if it unless he decides to retire, that the Steelers are the best spot for him.

Gerry Dulac, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
The episode: Top 5 Under The Radar Acquisitions In NFL Free Agency
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidMar 13, 2025
GradedAug 13–Sep 18, 2026

1Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers“I have to think that, you know, if it unless he decides to retire, that the Steelers are the best spot for him.”
2Mason Rudolph to be 2nd on the depth chart“They brought him in to be a backup, not to be a potential starter.”
3Jaxson Dart to be higher than normal as opposed to maybe a fourth and fifth round pick quarterback off the board“I know they like Jackson Dart, and I know they like Will Howard despite how he looked at the combine... I would say probably those two if you're looking for somebody, higher than normal”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers¹	Trade and Signing Calls	Ended up with PIT	100	0	+200
Mason Rudolph to be 2nd on the depth chart²	Depth Chart Calls	No. 2	100	100	0
Jaxson Dart to be higher than normal as opposed to maybe a fourth and fifth round pick quarterback off the board³	Position Order Calls	—	0	31.26	−31.26
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled			66.7	43.8

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 position order call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 43.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Trade and Signing Calls Aaron Rodgers Pittsburgh Steelers
Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
What happenedEnded up with PITcalled PIT
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
Aaron Rodgers
season:
2025
claimed:
PIT
was with:
NYJ
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
PIT
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
2Depth Chart Calls Mason Rudolph Pittsburgh Steelers
Mason Rudolph to be 2nd on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 2called No. 2 · by passing yards
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
PIT
skill:
0
player:
Mason Rudolph
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
3Position Order Calls Jaxson Dart Pittsburgh Steelers
Jaxson Dart to be higher than normal as opposed to maybe a fourth and fifth round pick quarterback off the board
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 31.26
0this call31.26a naive guess−31.26worse than naive1difficulty−31.26skill
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
naming one of the 14 at random averages 31.26
skill:
−31.26
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
0
baseline:
31.26
position:
quarterback
class size:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
129–172
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
66.7naive 43.8

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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