Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Connor Rogers· Oct 30, 2026

Rogers picked straight-up winners across the Week 8 slate, siding with the Bills over the Ravens, the Lions, Steelers, Jaguars, Bengals, Falcons, Raiders, Broncos, Rams, Patriots, Commanders and the Bears in Seattle.

“I'm with you, Chris... I think the Bengals are gonna be fine and win the game.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) · read the original →

10 checkable claims — 10 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 10 have settled, averaging 90 out of 100, against 70 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

10 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsOct 30, 2026

    Chicago Bears to beat Seattle

    “I like the Bears to cover and win the game... I think this will be a statement win for the Bears.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    161
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersOct 30, 2026

    Washington Commanders to beat eagles

    “I took the commanders to win in cover as well, even with some of the injuries that they've had.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    WAS
    score:
    10-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    WAS
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Commanders by 6 · favorite pick, Commanders 71%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsOct 30, 2026

    New England Patriots to beat Miami Dolphins

    “I'm believing in New England, Chris. I think New England is gonna just handle business schematically.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    24-19
    skill:
    161
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIA
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Patriots by 7 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksLas Vegas RaidersOct 30, 2026

    Las Vegas Raiders to beat Jets

    “I'm gonna pick the Raiders to win. It is very simple for me.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LV
    score:
    38-33
    skill:
    161
    they picked:
    LV
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NYJ
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Jets by 1.5 · a toss-up, Raiders 47%, Jets 53%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksAtlanta FalconsOct 30, 2026

    Atlanta Falcons to beat Bucks

    “Atlanta's getting two and a half, but I'm with you that they win... So give me the Falcons with the upset”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    TB
    score:
    0-16
    skill:
    −161
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Buccaneers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Falcons 46%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersOct 30, 2026

    Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns

    “I agree with you that the Steelers win... So I'll say Steelers win Browns cover yet again.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    6-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 64%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsOct 30, 2026

    Detroit Lions to beat Vikings

    “I just think Goff is gonna have the answers against Flores's blitz... and I don't think the Vikings will have the offense to respond where Detroit will win”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    15-19
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Lions by 3 · favorite pick, Lions 60%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsOct 30, 2026

    Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens

    “But I still won't pick against the Bills for... To win this game... So I got a Ravens cover, a Bills win.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    10-36
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 59%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsOct 30, 2026

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Colts

    “I'm picking the Jacks to win the game... I think Jacksonville takes care of their business.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    7-42
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Jaguars by 10 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (80%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsOct 30, 2026

    Cincinnati Bengals to beat Tennessee

    “I'm gonna say Tennessee covers. I don't think it's gonna be pretty. I think the Bengals are gonna be fine and win the game.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    36-43
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bengals by 13.5 · favorite pick, Bengals about 6 in 7 (86%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these