Derek Brown· Oct 2, 2026
Brown forecast a Jaguars shootout win in Cincinnati, took the Saints to beat the Falcons on Monday night, ranked Jeremiah Love as an RB15 rest-of-season (while saying he'd move up), and expected Jacoby Brissett to remain Arizona's quarterback for the year and Jalen Wright to be back in Miami's backfield.
“I think it's thirty one twenty eight and I am taking the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims — 1 availability call, 1 depth chart call, 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 47.6 out of 100, against 19.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Where this call stands in the room
Jacoby Brissett · 2026 season11 calls from 6 pundits between 1 and 1. Derek Brown said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Jaguars at Bengals 32 calls
- Falcons at Saints 34 calls
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksNew Orleans SaintsOct 2, 2026
New Orleans Saints to beat Falcons
“yeah i'm taking the saints um shout out steve gleason i think the saints are going to be highly motivated”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- ATL
- score:
- 45-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NO
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
Closing line (Oct 5): Saints by 1.5 · a toss-up, Falcons 48%, Saints 52%.
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsOct 2, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 31 — Bengals 28
“I think this game is going to be a shootout... I think it's thirty one twenty eight and I am taking the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 39.34+102.29 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 22-17
- skill:
- 102.29
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 39.34
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 0.52
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 4): Bengals by 2.5, total 51.5 · this 31–28 calls a Jaguars win (by 3; the line gave the Jaguars 43%) and more points (59).
Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart
“if they stay competitive i think we see brissette for the rest of the year are barring an injury like i don't think carson beck is is a long-term answer quarterback”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“So I think that we're going to see Jalen Wright. He might be the starter for the Miami Dolphins this week, or at least at bare minimum, if he is active this splitting work with Ollie Gordon this week”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Pat FitzmauriceScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 90Fitzmaurice picked Jacksonville to edge Cincinnati in a one-point nail-biter, took the Saints over the Falcons on Monday night, pegged Jeremiah Love as an RB11 for the rest of the season, and expected several banged-up players to sit out Week 4.
- Damonza ByrdSeason Win Totals · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as his favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one.
- Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; he also likes the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100In part two of his gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.
- Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5.
- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Mike MoraitisDepth Chart Calls · Tyson BagentMiss · 0Previewing the Bears-Packers Week 5 matchup, he states Tyson Bagent will again start at quarterback for Chicago, while framing Green Bay's receivers, pass defense and return game as threats. The rest of the piece is descriptive analysis of season-to-date statistics rather than forecasts of outcomes.
- Josh AlperDepth Chart Calls · Olaivavega IoaneHit · 100Alper writes that Cam Jurgens, acquired by trade and in the concussion protocol, won't debut for Baltimore until the following week, leaving Vega Ioane as the likeliest starter at center against the Falcons before sliding back to right guard once Jurgens is available.
- John BreechDepth Chart Calls · Jameis WinstonHit · 100Breech picked the Eagles to beat the Bears 23-16 on Monday night, and expected Jameis Winston to start at quarterback for the Giants in Week 4 against Arizona while newly acquired J.J. McCarthy gets up to speed.
- Chris RolingDepth Chart Calls · Drew LockMiss · 0Roling expects Sam Darnold's hip injury to keep him out, meaning Drew Lock will be Seattle's quarterback when the Chargers visit in Week 4.
- Christian BooherDepth Chart Calls · Blake MillerMiss · 0Booher lays out the Lions' projected depth chart for their Week 4 game at Carolina, naming starters, backups and reserves at every position, and suggests safety Bishop Fitzgerald could make his debut.
- Carter BahnsDepth Chart Calls · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0Bahns calls it reality that Shedeur Sanders will take over as Cleveland's starting quarterback by Week 4, with Deshaun Watson set to fail.