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Adam Carlson· Oct 10, 2026

Carlson argues Minnesota's pass rush, pass defense and T.J. Hockenson's matchup advantage will carry the Vikings to a road win over the Saints in Week 5, leaving them undefeated heading into the bye.

“If the Vikings can make the most of those opportunities, they should get a big road win to take them into the bye week with an undefeated record.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Minnesota Vikings to beat New Orleans Saints

    “Minnesota has some clear advantages over New Orleans that should make the difference in this weekend's game. If the Vikings can make the most of those opportunities, they should get a big road win to take them into the bye week with an undefeated record.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    23-13
    skill:
    178
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NO
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Vikings by 2.5 · favorite pick, Vikings 56%.

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