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Trevor Ripley· Oct 11, 2026

Ripley predicts the Vikings beat the Saints 27-24 in Week 5, with Chris Olave likely to have another big game against Minnesota's shaky secondary.

“Vikings: 27 Saints: 24”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 83.3 out of 100, against 28.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Minnesota Vikings 27 — Saints 24

    “Verdict Vikings: 27 Saints: 24”

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 28.28+97.99 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    23-13
    skill:
    97.99
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    28.28
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    14
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Oct 11): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 27–24 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 3) and more points (51).

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