Alain Poupart· Oct 24, 2026
Picks the Jets to beat the Dolphins 19-17, while predicting Miami will get its win over New York in the rematch five weeks later.
“The Dolphins will defeat the Jets this season, but we're thinking it'll happen in the rematch in five weeks.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 73.8 out of 100, against 21.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Dolphins at Jets 62 calls
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsNew York JetsOct 24, 2026
New York Jets 19 — Dolphins 17
“Miami Dolphins On SI ... Prediction: Jets 19, Dolphins 17”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 42.18+9.08 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 28-25
- skill:
- 9.08
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 47.62
- baseline:
- 42.18
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 2
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5, total 39.5 · this 19–17 calls a closer game (Jets by 2) and fewer points (36).
- Game Outcome PicksMiami DolphinsOct 24, 2026
Miami Dolphins to beat Jets
“The Dolphins will defeat the Jets this season, but we're thinking it'll happen in the rematch in five weeks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIA
- score:
- 28-25
- skill:
- 167
- they picked:
- MIA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5 · underdog pick, Dolphins about 1 in 3 (34%).
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · New York JetsClose · 48Simms gave straight-up winners with predicted final scores for every Week 8 game, including upset calls on the Ravens in Buffalo, the Broncos over the Chiefs, the Jets over the Raiders and the Seahawks over the Bears, and he expected Josh Downs to play for the Colts despite his trade request.
- Pardon My TakeGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0The hosts' spoken segments could not all be tied to names said in the transcript; the show's weekly Week 8 NFL side/total picks and game leans were made collectively by the unnamed-in-text speakers. Picks included the Bengals beating the Titans easily, the Patriots winning (but maybe not covering) in Miami, and the Broncos over the Chiefs.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · New York JetsMiss · 36Prisco picks every Week 8 game with a predicted final score, including the Packers beating the Panthers, the Lions handing the undefeated Vikings their first loss, and the Bengals blowing out the Titans.
- Nick FariaGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0Faria says rookie edge rusher David Bailey, now at five sacks, is on track to win Defensive Rookie of the Year, and that Garrett Wilson is headed for a 100-catch, 1,000-yard, 10-touchdown season. He also maps out a path where the Jets beat the Dolphins and Raiders to reach 4-4 at midseason.
- Ralph VacchianoGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0Vacchiano ranked all 32 NFL teams heading into Week 4, putting the undefeated Bills first and the winless Dolphins last, while also flagging a winnable upcoming stretch for the Jets and a Chiefs win over the Raiders.
- Jason ReidGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0Picks the Jets to beat the Dolphins.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
- Jeremy BrenerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.