Nick Faria· Oct 12, 2026
Faria says rookie edge rusher David Bailey, now at five sacks, is on track to win Defensive Rookie of the Year, and that Garrett Wilson is headed for a 100-catch, 1,000-yard, 10-touchdown season. He also maps out a path where the Jets beat the Dolphins and Raiders to reach 4-4 at midseason.
“Wilson is well on his way to a 100-catch, 1,000-yard, and 10-touchdown season.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
6 checkable claims — 3 player season numbers, 2 game outcome picks and 1 award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 3 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 2.
Where this call stands in the room
Garrett Wilson · 2026 season · receiving yards4 calls from 4 pundits between 1,000 receiving yards and 1,230 receiving yards. Nick Faria said 1,000 receiving yards. the room's median is 1,000 receiving yards. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Dolphins at Jets 62 calls
- Raiders at Jets 13 calls
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsOct 12, 2026
New York Jets to beat Raiders
“On paper, the team could theoretically beat both the Dolphins and Raiders on their upcoming schedule.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LV
- score:
- 38-33
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsOct 12, 2026
New York Jets to beat Dolphins
“On paper, the team could theoretically beat both the Dolphins and Raiders on their upcoming schedule.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIA
- score:
- 28-25
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- Player Season NumbersGarrett WilsonNew York JetsOct 12, 2026
Garrett Wilson to record 10 receiving tds
“Wilson is well on his way to a 100-catch, 1,000-yard, and 10-touchdown season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Award PicksDavid BaileyNew York JetsOct 12, 2026
David Bailey to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“He's now at five sacks for the season and well on his way to winning Defensive Rookie of the Year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Player Season NumbersGarrett WilsonNew York JetsOct 12, 2026
Garrett Wilson to record 100 receptions
“Wilson is well on his way to a 100-catch, 1,000-yard, and 10-touchdown season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Player Season NumbersGarrett WilsonNew York JetsOct 12, 2026
Garrett Wilson to record 1,000 receiving yards
“Wilson is well on his way to a 100-catch, 1,000-yard, and 10-touchdown season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · New York JetsClose · 48Simms gave straight-up winners with predicted final scores for every Week 8 game, including upset calls on the Ravens in Buffalo, the Broncos over the Chiefs, the Jets over the Raiders and the Seahawks over the Bears, and he expected Josh Downs to play for the Colts despite his trade request.
- Pardon My TakeGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0The hosts' spoken segments could not all be tied to names said in the transcript; the show's weekly Week 8 NFL side/total picks and game leans were made collectively by the unnamed-in-text speakers. Picks included the Bengals beating the Titans easily, the Patriots winning (but maybe not covering) in Miami, and the Broncos over the Chiefs.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · New York JetsMiss · 36Prisco picks every Week 8 game with a predicted final score, including the Packers beating the Panthers, the Lions handing the undefeated Vikings their first loss, and the Bengals blowing out the Titans.
- Ralph VacchianoGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0Vacchiano ranked all 32 NFL teams heading into Week 4, putting the undefeated Bills first and the winless Dolphins last, while also flagging a winnable upcoming stretch for the Jets and a Chiefs win over the Raiders.
- Jason ReidGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0Picks the Jets to beat the Dolphins.
- Nick KosmidiGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0Picks the Jets to beat the Dolphins.
More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Andrew EricksonPlayer Season Numbers · James CookClose · 67Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and he expects James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range.
- Ross JacksonPlayer Season Numbers · Tyler ShoughMiss · 4Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Chris BroussardPlayer Season Numbers · Myles GarrettHit · 92Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.
- Nick WrightPlayer Season Numbers · Myles GarrettHit · 100Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record.
- Nick WrightPlayer Season Numbers · Myles GarrettHit · 84Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among his weekly picks he expects the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee.
- Rich EisenPlayer Season Numbers · Micah ParsonsClose · 56Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.