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Pardon My Take· Oct 30, 2026

The hosts' spoken segments could not all be tied to names said in the transcript; the show's weekly Week 8 NFL side/total picks and game leans were made collectively by the unnamed-in-text speakers. Picks included the Bengals beating the Titans easily, the Patriots winning (but maybe not covering) in Miami, and the Broncos over the Chiefs.

“I just think the Bengals should win this game, and they should win it easily, and we should move on.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Pardon My Take (podcast) · read the original →

8 checkable claims — 7 game outcome picks and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 57.1 out of 100, against 57.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

8 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosOct 30, 2026

    Denver Broncos to beat Chiefs

    “My... I love the bro... I love the Broncos in this game. I've loved the Broncos all week.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    24-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Chiefs 50%, Broncos 50%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsOct 30, 2026

    New England Patriots to beat Dolphins

    “I will be betting on the patriots. I do believe the patriots this weekend. I think they're gonna win pretty easily too.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    24-19
    skill:
    161
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIA
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Patriots by 7 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksAtlanta FalconsOct 30, 2026

    Atlanta Falcons to beat Bucks

    “So I think I like the falcons in this game. I think I do.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    TB
    score:
    0-16
    skill:
    −161
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Buccaneers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Falcons 46%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersOct 30, 2026

    Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns

    “I like the Steelers in this game. I like the Steelers.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    6-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 64%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysOct 30, 2026

    Dallas Cowboys to beat Cardinals

    “The Cardinals could come out and shock you. I don't think it's gonna happen this week. I think this is gonna be... The Cowboys look right.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    33-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Cowboys by 7 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 3 in 4 (74%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsOct 30, 2026

    New York Jets to beat Raiders

    “Okay. I'm going with my theory. I I hate that I'm taking the Jets in this game”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LV
    score:
    38-33
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NYJ
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NYJ
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Jets by 1.5 · a toss-up, Raiders 47%, Jets 53%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsOct 30, 2026

    Cincinnati Bengals to beat Titans

    “I just think the Bengals should win this game, and they should win it easily, and we should move on. I agree.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    36-43
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bengals by 13.5 · favorite pick, Bengals about 6 in 7 (86%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Player Season NumbersCam WardTennessee TitansOct 30, 2026

    Cam Ward to record 1,000 passing yards

    “Will this be the week that Cam Ward gets a thousand yards? ... Yes. Because I I expect them to be playing from a deficit for most of the game.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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