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Pete Prisco· Oct 28, 2026

Prisco picks every Week 8 game with a predicted final score, including the Packers beating the Panthers, the Lions handing the undefeated Vikings their first loss, and the Bengals blowing out the Titans.

“Look for a low-scoring game won by Kansas City”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

14 checkable claims — 14 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 14 have settled, averaging 60 out of 100, against 58.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

14 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Seattle Seahawks 24 — Bears 17

    “the Seahawks will win it. Pick: Seahawks 24, Bears 17”

    Miss · 26Scored 26.19a naive guess scored 10.88+24.65 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    24.65
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    26.19
    baseline:
    10.88
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.57
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 7) and fewer points (41).

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  • Washington Commanders 28 — Eagles 16

    “Washington will win it. Pick: Commanders 28, Eagles 16”

    Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 61.23+43.25 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-27
    skill:
    43.25
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    88.1
    baseline:
    61.23
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    12

    Closing line (Nov 1): Commanders by 6, total 40.5 · this 28–16 calls a bigger Commanders win (by 12) and more points (44).

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  • Kansas City Chiefs 19 — Broncos 14

    “Pick: Chiefs 19, Broncos 14”

    Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 92.18-71.75 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-28
    skill:
    −71.75
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    47.62
    baseline:
    92.18
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    5

    Closing line (Nov 1): Broncos by 1.5, total 41.5 · this 19–14 calls a Chiefs win (by 5; the line gave the Chiefs 50%) and fewer points (33).

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  • New England Patriots 28 — Dolphins 14

    “New England wins it. Pick: Pats 28, Dolphins 14”

    Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 39.8+62.42 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-19
    skill:
    62.42
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    78.57
    baseline:
    39.8
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    14

    Closing line (Nov 1): Patriots by 7, total 41.5 · this 28–14 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 14) and more points (42).

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  • Los Angeles Rams 23 — Chargers 20

    “They will win here, but the rested Chargers will keep it close. Pick: Rams 23, Chargers 20”

    Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 65.99+8.75 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    9-24
    skill:
    8.75
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    71.43
    baseline:
    65.99
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 1): Rams by 6.5, total 46.5 · this 23–20 calls a closer game (Rams by 3) and fewer points (43).

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  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23 — Falcons 17

    “Tampa Bay wins it. Pick: Bucs 23, Falcons 17”

    Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 63.03+21.18 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    0-16
    skill:
    21.18
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    63.03
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    6

    Closing line (Nov 1): Buccaneers by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 23–17 calls a bigger Buccaneers win (by 6) and fewer points (40).

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  • New York Jets 27 — Raiders 16

    “Jets win it. Pick: Jets 27, Raiders 16”

    Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 39.22-5.65 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    38-33
    skill:
    −5.65
    they picked:
    NYJ
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    35.71
    baseline:
    39.22
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Jets by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 27–16 calls a bigger Jets win (by 11) and fewer points (43).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Detroit Lions 23 — Vikings 13

    “Lions take it. Pick: Lions 23, Vikings 13”

    Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 91.61-9.48 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    15-19
    skill:
    −9.48
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    91.61
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 1): Lions by 3, total 46.5 · this 23–13 calls a bigger Lions win (by 10) and fewer points (36).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacksonville Jaguars 30 — Colts 16

    “Pick: Jaguars 30, Colts 16”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    7-42
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    35
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    14

    Closing line (Nov 1): Jaguars by 10, total 45.5 · this 30–16 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 14) and more points (46).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Pittsburgh Steelers 24 — Browns 20

    “Look for Aaron Rodgers to play well as the Steelers take it. Pick: Steelers 24, Browns 20”

    Close · 60Scored 59.52a naive guess scored 51.13+13.52 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    6-27
    skill:
    13.52
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    59.52
    baseline:
    51.13
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5, total 38.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 4) and more points (44).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dallas Cowboys 37 — Cardinals 21

    “Dallas big — even on a short week. Pick: Cowboys 37, Cardinals 21”

    Miss · 19Scored 19.05a naive guess scored 43.99-40.15 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    33-30
    skill:
    −40.15
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    19.05
    baseline:
    43.99
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    16

    Closing line (Nov 1): Cowboys by 7, total 54.5 · this 37–21 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 16) and more points (58).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cincinnati Bengals 36 — Titans 10

    “Pick: Bengals 36, Titans 10”

    Close · 55Scored 54.76a naive guess scored 84.46-47.82 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    36-43
    skill:
    −47.82
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    54.76
    baseline:
    84.46
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    26

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bengals by 13.5, total 45.5 · this 36–10 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 26) and more points (46).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills 35 — Ravens 30

    “Look for a shootout here with Josh Allen getting the best of it. Pick: Bills 35, Ravens 30”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-36
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    5

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3, total 54.5 · this 35–30 calls a bigger Bills win (by 5) and more points (65).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers 31 — Panthers 24

    “Pick: Packers 31, Panthers 24”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 79.94+28.47 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-27
    skill:
    28.47
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    79.94
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    −0.43
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5, total 47.5 · this 31–24 calls a bigger Packers win (by 7) and more points (55).

    Think this is wrong?

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