Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 3, 2025
Rosenthal picked the Ravens to beat the Lions in the Super Bowl, took the Broncos as their Week 1 survivor pick, liked the Dolphins, Seahawks and Jaguars in their openers, called Jacksonville a sneaky playoff team, and laid out several depth-chart expectations.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Gregg Rosenthal said
But I have the Ravens winning over the Lions in the Super Bowl this year.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- 2025 NFL Week 1 Preview and Super Bowl Picks
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidSep 3, 2025
- GradedAug 5–17, 2026
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Champions | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Game Outcome Picks | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Super Bowl Picks | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Surprise Team Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| All | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
11 checkable claims — 4 depth chart calls, 3 game outcome picks, 2 conference champions, 1 super bowl pick and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
10 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 42.5 out of 100, against 55.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Conference Champions2 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
“I have the Ravens winning over the Lions in the Super Bowl this year.”
NE and SEA wonpicked BAL0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
“I have the Ravens winning over the Lions in the Super Bowl this year.”
NE and SEA wonpicked DET0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
Game Outcome Picks1 hit · 2 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco forty nine Ers
“I picked the Seahawks in this game. I don't I don't feel great about it, but you had to.”
0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Sep 7): 49ers by 2.5 · underdog pick, Seahawks 45%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 17-13
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Miami Dolphins to beat Colts
“I like the Dolphins in this game in general ... I mean, I'm picking them, but you guys, why are you taking such big risks?”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Closing line (Sep 7): Colts by 1.5 · a toss-up, Dolphins 50%, Colts 50%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- IND
- score:
- 8-33
- skill:
- −200
- they picked:
- MIA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Carolina Panthers
“I really like the Jaguars, and this is what I'm looking at here.”
100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Sep 7): Jaguars by 4.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 2 in 3 (64%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 10-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Depth Chart Calls2 hits · 2 close callsShow ▸Hide ▾
Dont'e Thornton Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
“you mentioned Dante Thornton, this this rookie who I think is still going to start”
No. 4called No. 1 · by receptions75Close75 − 83.33 naive = −8.33 × 2 difficulty = −16.67 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- LV
- skill:
- −16.67
- player:
- Dont'e Thornton Jr.
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Austin Ekeler to be 1st on the depth chart
“Whenever you know Austin Eckler, I would guess we'll have the most snaps of any of them.”
No. 4called No. 1 · by rushing yards75Close75 − 83.33 naive = −8.33 × 2 difficulty = −16.67 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- WAS
- skill:
- −16.67
- player:
- Austin Ekeler
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Luther Burden III to be 4th on the depth chart
“and Luther Burden, who looks pretty interesting, is like the number four”
No. 2called No. 4 · by receptions83.33Hit83.33 − 100 naive = −16.67 × 2 difficulty = −33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- −33.33
- player:
- Luther Burden III
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Adam Thielen to be 2nd on the depth chart
“You have to bring an Adam Thelen to be your number two, granted only for like three weeks.”
No. 3called No. 2 · by receptions91.67Hit91.67 − 91.67 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- PIT
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Adam Thielen
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Super Bowl Picks1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl
“I too have the Baltimore Ravens winning the Super Bowl ... I have the Ravens winning over the Lions in the Super Bowl this year.”
SEA won itpicked BAL0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Surprise Team Calls1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat expectations
“I think the Jaguars could be a sneaky playoff team.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Baltimore Ravens, Seattle Seahawks, Detroit Lions, Dont'e Thornton Jr., Las Vegas Raiders, Austin Ekeler, Washington Commanders, Luther Burden III, Chicago Bears, Miami Dolphins, Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings, Jacksonville Jaguars
Others on the same people
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Gilberto Manzano · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Jacob Herlin · Depth Chart Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Herlin published Week 7 fantasy D/ST rankings with projections for 28 team defenses, led by Houston, Minnesota and Cleveland. They also expect Cleveland to post a fourth straight top-10 fantasy defense result, and predicts Jalon Daniels starts another week for Tampa Bay while J.J. McCarthy takes over as the Giants' starter.Jordan Dajani · Depth Chart Calls · Drew Kendall · Miss 0
Dajani expects Cam Jurgens to move back to center as the Ravens' starter after the trade, and projects a rebuilt Eagles offensive line for Week 5 with Jordan Mailata, Willie Lampkin, Drew Kendall, Tyler Steen and Markel Bell starting from left tackle to right tackle.