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Gregg Rosenthal is an NFL analyst and podcast host who has been covering the league since 2012. Rosenthal hosts The NFL Daily Podcast, featuring a rotating lineup of NFL Media personalities, and the NFL Network podcast and TV show 40s and Free Agents: NFL Draft Season. Rosenthal has also co-hosted the Around the NFL Podcast and appeared on NFL GameDay View since 2019. The predictions here cover game outcomes, draft positioning, playoff berths, division winners, season win totals, player awards, depth charts and player movement. Teams include the Houston Texans, Los Angeles Chargers, New England Patriots, Seattle Seahawks, Detroit Lions, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys. Players named include Travis Hunter, Shedeur Sanders, Tee Higgins and Stefon Diggs.
More about Gregg Rosenthal ↓Writes at Move the Sticks (podcast)
Across 319 graded calls in 71 articles, Gregg Rosenthal scores 63.14% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 21.48, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles. That ranks #39 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. Their strongest kind of call is Depth Chart Calls (92.81% accuracy across 26 graded calls); their weakest is Conference Champions (25% across 10 graded calls).
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 513 calls · one square per 2 calls
166hits52% of graded
54Close17%
99misses31%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Teams and players where Gregg Rosenthal keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle.
Outside the room in 3 of 3 articles — always lower · when they strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Gregg Rosenthal is an NFL analyst and podcast host who has been covering the league since 2012. Rosenthal hosts The NFL Daily Podcast, featuring a rotating lineup of NFL Media personalities, and the NFL Network podcast and TV show 40s and Free Agents: NFL Draft Season. Rosenthal has also co-hosted the Around the NFL Podcast and appeared on NFL GameDay View since 2019. The predictions here cover game outcomes, draft positioning, playoff berths, division winners, season win totals, player awards, depth charts and player movement. Teams include the Houston Texans, Los Angeles Chargers, New England Patriots, Seattle Seahawks, Detroit Lions, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys. Players named include Travis Hunter, Shedeur Sanders, Tee Higgins and Stefon Diggs.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
319 graded calls in 72 articles, newest first — page 1 of 10. Every take from Gregg Rosenthal, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
194waitingnot graded yet
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Gregg Rosenthal would be #41; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #39.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | Brooke Cersosimo | 22.73 | 51.89% | 38 |
| 38 | Rich Eisen | 21.49 | 61.89% | 491 |
| 39 | Gregg Rosenthal | 21.48 | 63.14% | 319 |
| 40 | JP Acosta | 21.48 | 59.01% | 142 |
| 41 | Marcus Mosher | 21.16 | 81.66% | 77 |
Outside the room in 3 of 3 articles — always lower · when they strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 4 articles — always lower · when they strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 4 articles — always lower · when they strayed: 86.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 4 articles — always lower · when they strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 5 articles — always lower · when they strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Saints
“I will take the Steelers minus three and a half. I think they could boat race the Saints in this game... And I think it could be a blowout.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Steelers by 3 · favorite pick, Steelers 59%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Chiefs
“I like the Seahawks winning Monday night.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 59%.
Houston Texans to beat Colts
“The next time you see Nick Shook and I, he will be recapping that big Texans win against the Colts. I'm sorry, Colts.”
Closing line (Sep 27): Texans by 1.5 · a toss-up, Texans 53%, Colts 47%.
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Washington
“And I look at this game, for instance, this weekend. Against Washington... I'm like, I think Philadelphia is going to smoke them.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Eagles by 6 · favorite pick, Eagles about 2 in 3 (68%).
Stefon Diggs to move to Washington Commanders
“I just wonder with all the ... why not Stefan Diggs. Why not just go ahead and get that done? ... Wouldn't surprise me. Have yourself a solid too”
Brandon Doughty to be picked “a third or fourth round, pick” (picks 64–139)
“I think he might be like a third or fourth round, pick”