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Pete Prisco· Oct 23, 2026

Prisco forecasts a low-scoring Browns win at Tennessee, 17-16 on a late field goal, and a narrow Rams victory over the Raiders, 28-27.

“Pick: Browns 17, Titans 16”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 82.1 out of 100, against 29 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Los Angeles Rams 28 — Raiders 27

    “But the Rams will give up some big plays to the Raiders, who hang around. Pick: Rams 28, Raiders 27”

    Close · 69Scored 69.05a naive guess scored 15.84+88.86 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    35-21
    skill:
    88.86
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    69.05
    baseline:
    15.84
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.35
    predicted margin:
    1

    Closing line (Oct 25): Rams by 3.5, total 49.5 · this 28–27 calls a closer game (Rams by 1) and more points (55).

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  • Cleveland Browns 17 — Titans 16

    “They win it again on a late field goal. " Pick: Browns 17, Titans 16"”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 42.18+88.61 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    27-24
    skill:
    88.61
    they picked:
    CLE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    42.18
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.28
    predicted margin:
    1

    Closing line (Oct 25): Browns by 1.5, total 36.5 · this 17–16 calls a closer game (Browns by 1) and fewer points (33).

    Think this is wrong?

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