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Blaine GrisakAug 12, 2026

Reviewing the Rams' first depth chart, Grisak argues Xavier Smith has won the punt return job over Kyren Williams and that this should help Smith earn a spot on the final roster as a special teams contributor.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Blaine Grisak said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
That should bode well for Smith making the final roster as a special teams contributor.
Blaine Grisak, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Rams Release Initial Depth Chart Ahead of Preseason Opene
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 12
  2. GradedSep 25
  1. 1Xavier Smith to make the roster“That should bode well for Smith making the final roster as a special teams contributor.”
  2. 2Xavier Smith to be 1st on the depth chart“after Xavier Smith competed with Kyren Williams at punt returner, it seems he may have that spot locked up. Williams isn't even listed as Smith's backup at that spot.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Xavier Smith to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531001000
Xavier Smith to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting100100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    LAR
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Xavier Smith
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsXavier SmithLos Angeles Rams

    Xavier Smith to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.