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Ian St. Clair· Oct 11, 2026

St. Clair predicts a 27-16 Broncos win with the defense harassing Justin Herbert into turnovers.

“All leading to a Broncos victory on Sunday.”

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One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 88.1 out of 100, against 36.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Denver Broncos 27 — Chargers 16

    “Broncos 27, Chargers 16 ... All leading to a Broncos victory on Sunday. – Ian St. Clair”

    Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 36.48+91.88 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    23-17
    skill:
    91.88
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    88.1
    baseline:
    36.48
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    14
    naive home margin:
    0.32
    predicted margin:
    11

    Closing line (Oct 11): Broncos by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 27–16 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 11) and more points (43).

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