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Jordan Dajani· Oct 12, 2026

Dajani picked the Bills to beat the Rams 30-27 on Monday night.

“Jordan Dajani's pick: Bills 30-27 over Rams”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 43.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Buffalo Bills 30 — Rams 27

    “Jordan Dajani's pick: Bills 30-27 over Rams”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 43.52+100.53 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    37-34
    skill:
    100.53
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    43.52
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    14
    naive home margin:
    0.28
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 30–27 calls a Bills win (by 3; the line gave the Bills 38%) and more points (57).

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