Ty Schmit· Oct 12, 2026
Predicted a 38-34 Rams win over the Bills on Monday night, and said Micah Parsons will be back on the field for the Packers within the next week or two.
“I kinda like just a a thirty eight thirty four Rams victory.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast) · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 1 availability call and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 47.6 out of 100, against 43.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Bills at Rams 41 calls
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsOct 12, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 38 — Bills 34
“I kinda like just a a thirty eight thirty four Rams victory. I think they've kinda been, you know, a little bit underwhelming so far, and do the Bills have enough?”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 43.52+7.3 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 37-34
- skill:
- 7.3
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 47.62
- baseline:
- 43.52
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.28
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 38–34 calls a bigger Rams win (by 4) and more points (72).
- Availability CallsMicah ParsonsGreen Bay PackersOct 12, 2026
“it'd be awesome for him to make his debut against the Cowboys on Sunday night football... but I do think he's gonna be back within the next week or two.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Bills in the Week 5 Monday night game, projecting a 28-24 final score as Los Angeles' Nacua-Adams-Williams trio proves too much for Buffalo's defense.
- Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilioGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense.
- Darius ButlerGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen.
- Pat McAfeeGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium.
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Took the Rams over the Bills on Monday night, saying they win by seven in a high-scoring quarterback duel.
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48Sullivan picked the Rams to beat the Bills 28-24 on Monday night.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Dajani picked the Bills to beat the Rams 30-27 on Monday night.
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 95Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 90Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington.
- Pat FitzmauriceScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Fitzmaurice predicted a 34-31 Bills win over the Rams, suggested the Packers would again blow a lead to the Bears, and said Drake Maye is a high-end to mid-range QB1 going forward.
- Derek BrownScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Brown picked the Browns to beat the Jets and the Bears to beat the Packers, forecast a 31-28 Bills win over the Rams on Monday night, and made several Week 5 availability calls — doubting Tee Higgins, Lamar Jackson, Stefon Diggs and Terry McLaurin while expecting Ja'Marr Chase to play.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Dajani lays out projected final scores for every Week 5 game he covers, including Jacksonville handling Philadelphia, Pittsburgh bouncing back at home against Indianapolis, and Cleveland winning outright in New York.