Mike MoraitisSep 21, 2026

Moraitis expects Andre Jones Jr. to hold a spot on Miami's 53-man roster after being signed off Buffalo's practice squad, with a significant special teams role under coordinator Chris Tabor.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100

1 week on a 53What happenedsettled

100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

0Skillafter difficulty

What Mike Moraitis said

nobody can blame Jones for leaving for the Dolphins, where he'll have a spot on the 53-man roster and a chance for a role that he doesn't have in Buffalo

Our reading: Andre Jones Jr. to make the roster

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Miami Dolphins Poach Edge Rusher Off Buffalo Bills' Practice Squad
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 21
GradedSep 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Roster Spot Calls Andre Jones Jr.Miami Dolphins
Andre Jones Jr. to make the roster
What happened1 week on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.94difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
MIA
skill:
0
player:
Andre Jones Jr.
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
1.94
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
1
weeks left when called:
17
first week on the53:
3
weeks on the practice squad:
0
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Who this take is about

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