Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 27, 2025
Nick Wright says Drake Maye proved they're an elite quarterback and will be a top-five QB going forward, and they made five weekend picks: Dallas blowing out Washington, Jacksonville over Indianapolis, Pittsburgh over Cleveland, Buffalo over Philadelphia, and Chicago winning outright at San Francisco. They also expect Josh Johnson to start at QB for Washington and Philadelphia to land the No. 3 seed.
Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original
What Nick Wright said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think he is just going to be a top five quarterback moving forward.
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- What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)
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- What’s Wright - Best Of - What's wrong with Lamar Jackson? Chiefs LEAVING Kansas City, NFL Week 17 Picks | Nick Wright
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- SaidDec 27, 2025
- GradedAug 7, 2026
- 1Josh Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart“I think Josh Johnson's playing quarterback for Washington. I don't know this, but I think it.”
- 2Buffalo Bills to beat Philly“I just think Buffalo's better, Buffalo needs the game. Buffalo's at home. I'll take Buffalo”
- 3Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards“I think he is just going to be a top five quarterback moving forward. He's legit.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart1 | Depth Chart Calls | No. 3 | 83.33 | 91.67 | −9.25 | |
| Buffalo Bills to beat Philly2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards3 | Positional Finishes | Finished #4 | 91.67 | 0 | +101.75 | |
| 3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 58.3 | 30.6 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive3 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 game outcome pick and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 58.3 out of 100, against 30.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
Their call against what actually happened.
1Depth Chart CallsJosh JohnsonWashington Commanders
Josh Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 3called No. 1 · by passing yards83.33Hit · naive 91.6783.33this call−91.67a naive guess=−8.34worse than naive×1.11difficulty=−9.25skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- WAS
- skill:
- −9.25
- player:
- Josh Johnson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 2
2Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to beat Philly
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.11difficulty=0skillClosing line (Dec 28): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 60%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 13-12
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
3Positional FinishesDrake MayeNew England Patriots
Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
What happenedFinished #4called #5 · by passing yards91.67Hit · naive 091.67this call−0a naive guess=91.67better than naive×1.11difficulty=+101.75skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 101.75
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 24
- actual finish:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- predicted finish:
- 5
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
58.3naive 30.6
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Gilberto Manzano · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.