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Nick WinklerSep 9, 2026

Known as the 'Winxstradamus,' Winkler picked every game on the 49ers' 2026 schedule, landing on a 12-5 finish with losses only to Seattle twice, Atlanta, the Chargers and Kansas City.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On 49ers (podcast)Hear the original

9 of 11calls landed9 hits · 2 misses · 8 waiting
81.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 11 calls
63.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
14Games calledeveryone’s picks below
8Waitingnot graded yet

What Nick Winkler said

40 finished the season twelve and five.
Nick Winkler, the lead quote
Where it was said
Locked On 49ers (podcast)
The episode
49ers Need a HOT START in 2026, "Winkstradamus" Makes Season Predictions
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 9
  2. PlayedSep 10–Nov 8
  3. GradedSep 12–Nov 9

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Game Outcome Picks9026
Trade and Signing Calls0001
Season Win Totals0001
All9028

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

19 checkable claims — 17 game outcome picks, 1 season win total and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

11 of 19 have settled so far, averaging 81.8 out of 100, against 63.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

San Francisco 49ers · 2026 season · wins

4 calls from 3 pundits between 10 wins and 12 wins. Nick Winkler said 12 wins. the room's median is 10 wins. not settled yet

Nick Winkler — 12 winsthe room — 4 calls from 3 punditsmedian 10 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Game Outcome Picks9 hits · 2 misses · 6 waitingShow ▸
  1. San Francisco 49ers to beat Las Vegas Raiders

    “They're gonna win that game, renew the old rivalry with the Raiders, and that that's a w.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    49ers 38–17Raiders at 49ers
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    17-38
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Atlanta Falcons to beat San Francisco 49ers

    “Short week at Atlanta, 10AM start. I actually have that down as an l for the forty niners”

    Atlanta Falcons

    Falcons 29–2049ers at Falcons
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    ATL
    score:
    20-29
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. San Francisco 49ers to beat Washington Commanders

    “You skipped that commander's game week six. It's okay. It's a w. That's not a very good football team.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    49ers 23–17Commanders at 49ers
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    17-23
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco 49ers

    “this seems like a kind of an easy spot to put an l on the schedule for the forty niners... Let's put it down for four and one after that matchup.”

    Seattle Seahawks

    49ers 32–2949ers at Seahawks
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    32-29
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco 49ers

    “Unfortunately, I hate to do it, but they're dropping both games of the Seahawks this year.”

    Seattle Seahawks

    49ers 32–2949ers at Seahawks
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    32-29
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. San Francisco 49ers to beat Denver Broncos

    “then they gotta travel to San Francisco or to Santa Clara to to play the niners. So I got the niners winning this football game for no start.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    49ers 24–14Broncos at 49ers
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    14-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. San Francisco 49ers to beat Arizona Cardinals

    “and then, of course, going to Arizona. I'm not too worried about the Cardinals.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    49ers 36–30Cardinals at 49ers
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    30-36
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. San Francisco 49ers to beat Arizona Cardinals

    “I see a three and o start for the niners and a two and o in the division.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    49ers 36–30Cardinals at 49ers
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    30-36
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  9. San Francisco 49ers to beat Miami Dolphins

    “week two, I think there's gonna be an easy come home win for the forty niners... That brings us to two and o San Francisco 40 niners”

    San Francisco 49ers

    49ers 35–13Dolphins at 49ers
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    13-35
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  10. San Francisco 49ers to beat Los Angeles Rams

    “I have them winning both games against the Rams this year. Super team? Come on. Bring it to Levi's.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    49ers 27–749ers at Rams
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    Closing line (Sep 10): Rams by 3.5 · underdog pick, 49ers about 1 in 3 (34%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    27-7
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  11. San Francisco 49ers to beat Los Angeles Rams

    “I really like the 40 niners in week one against the Rams in Melbourne. I'm gonna go with the w.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    49ers 27–749ers at Rams
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    Closing line (Sep 10): Rams by 3.5 · underdog pick, 49ers about 1 in 3 (34%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    27-7
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  12. San Francisco 49ers to beat New York Giants

    “they're they're gonna beat the Giants even though it's at 10AM start time.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  13. Kansas City Chiefs to beat San Francisco 49ers

    “go to Kansas City, and that's a tough place to play as well. I have the forty niners losing that game”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  14. Los Angeles Chargers to beat San Francisco 49ers

    “unfortunately, I gotta give the chargers the win here in week 15.”

    Los Angeles Chargers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  15. San Francisco 49ers to beat Minnesota Vikings

    “Make make it an eight and two forty niners team after this... It's Sunday night football. It's at Levi Stadium. They don't lose prime time home games.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  16. San Francisco 49ers to beat Dallas Cowboys

    “I'm gonna go ahead and say forty niners are gonna go to Dallas and beat up on the cowboys.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  17. San Francisco 49ers to beat Philadelphia Eagles

    “that is the wake up call that propels them to win their next two games. At home against the Eagles, Sunday night matchup”

    San Francisco 49ers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Trade and Signing Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Brandon Aiyuk to move — “not coming back”

    “He's not coming back. You're good.”

    Brandon Aiyuk

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Season Win Totals1 waitingShow ▸
  1. San Francisco 49ers to finish with 12 wins

    “40 finished the season twelve and five.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.